市场能量集中爆发，分析师提醒密切关注比特币价格在低波动后表现

来源：荒原狼的焊机

Source: Wild Wolf Welders

Swan Bitcoin首席投资官拉法·扎古里的分析显示，比特币价格在一年内的涨幅至少为55%，平均涨幅达到820%。分析认为，随着市场能量的集中爆发，比特币价格将呈现快速上涨的趋势。

Swan Bitcoin's Chief Investment Officer Rafa Zaguri's analysis shows that Bitcoin prices increased by at least 55% and averaged 820% in a year. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin prices will show a rapid upward trend as market energy concentrations break out.

在6月7日比特币价格大幅下跌之前的15天里，比特币一直保持低波动性，波动频率仅为6%。这意味着比特币在这15天内几乎没有变化，这一现象接近比特币历史上“15天周期波动率”的最低水平。

扎古里指出，在5月24日至6月7日期间，比特币的波动性处于“底部6%”。他在X上发表文章称，“比特币被困在其价格区间内”。在这15天期间，比特币的交易价格在66,936美元至71,656美元之间波动，随后价格下跌3.33%。此次下跌主要是由于美国就业数据强于预期。

According to Zaguri, between 24 May and 7 June, Bitcoin was at the bottom of “6%”. He published an article on X stating that “bitcoin is trapped in its price range.” During these 15 days, Bitcoin's transaction prices fluctuated between $66,936 and $71,656 and then fell by 3.33%. This decline was mainly due to higher than expected employment data in the United States.

扎古里强调，“我们需要密切关注比特币价格在低波动后的表现”。根据历史数据，低波动区间后的30天内，比特币的平均收益率为20.95%，最低收益率为-32.06%，最高收益率为218.40%。而在低波动期后的365天内，最低回报率为55.59%，平均回报率为820.82%。

Zaguri stressed that “we need to pay close attention to the performance of bitcoin prices after low fluctuations.” According to historical data, the average rate of return for bitcoins was 20.95 per cent, the lowest rate of return was 32.06 per cent and the highest rate of return was 218.40 per cent within 30 days of low volatility. The lowest rate of return was 55.59 per cent and the average rate of return was 820.82 per cent within 365 days of low volatility.

扎古里指出，“虽然过去的数据和价格模式不能完全预测未来，但从过去的经验中学习无疑是有价值的”。

Zaguri notes that “although past data and price patterns cannot fully predict the future, learning from past experience is certainly valuable”.