比特币突然大跌！近13万人爆仓，3500亿元市值蒸发
Bitcoin suddenly fell, close to 130,000 people exploded, and $350 billion in market value evaporated.
近期，比特币等数字货币市场出现了前所未有的大幅波动。1月11日，比特币价格创下历史新高48000美元/枚后开始暴跌，短短两天就蒸发了六千美元。这场"跳水"，让超过十万投资者爆仓，损失惨重。
In recent times, digital currency markets such as Bitcoin have experienced unprecedented volatility. On January 11, the price of Bitcoin began to collapse at an all-time high of $48,000, evaporating $6,000 in just two days. This "spilling" cost more than 100,000 investors a fortune.
究其原因，与比特币现货ETF上市、美联储政策收紧、市场恐慌情绪等多重因素有关。这场风波一次次提醒人们，比特币作为一种新生事物，价格波动巨大，既蕴含着无限可能，也带来巨大风险。展望未来，比特币仍大有可为，但投资者也需要理性看待，运用合理的投资策略，方能在这个万花筒里寻得属于自己的一席之地。
This wave serves as a reminder that Bitcoin, as a new thing, has huge price volatility, with unlimited possibilities and great risks. Looking ahead, Bitcoin still has much to offer, but investors need to think rationally and use a rational investment strategy to find their own place in this canoe.
一、比特币现货ETF上市，利空出尽
I. Bitcoin spot E.T.F. is on the market.
冲高回落，原因之一与比特币现货ETF的上市密不可分。所谓"现货ETF"，就是追踪数字资产价格变动的交易所交易基金。1月10日，美国证监会批准了全球第一个比特币现货ETF。这意味着比特币正向主流金融市场渐行渐近，投资渠道更加便捷、合规。这无疑是重大利好。
On January 10, the CSRC approved the world’s first spot ETF. This means that bitcoin is moving closer to mainstream financial markets and that investment channels are easier and more compliant. This is certainly a major benefit.
但也有道理称，利好出尽便是利空。比特币价格已经反映了这一利好，甚至存在过度预期。因此，上市当日，为锁定收益，部分投资者选择了减仓。这也导致比特币在创历史新高后开始跳水。
But it also makes sense to say that the best is the best. Bitcoin prices already reflect this good, or even excessive expectations. So, on the day of listing, some investors chose to cut the pool in order to lock the gains.
二、美联储政策收紧，增加数字货币市场不确定性
II. Federal Reserve policy tightening to increase uncertainty in the digital currency market
此外，美联储1月会议的决议也影响了比特币等市场。为遏制通胀，美联储计划在2024年加息三次，同时加速缩减资产购买规模。这标志着美国货币政策由宽松转向收紧。
In order to contain inflation, the Fed plans to raise interest three times in 2024, while accelerating the downsizing of asset purchases. This marks a shift from easing to tightening US monetary policy.
在这种环境下，美元升值，债券收益率上扬，资金成本增加，风险偏好下降。这无疑增加了数字资产等高风险市场的不确定性，也加重了比特币等的下行压力。
In this environment, the United States dollar appreciated, bond yields rose, capital costs increased, and risk preferences declined. This undoubtedly increased uncertainty in high-risk markets, such as digital assets, as well as downward pressure on bitcoin.
三、市场情绪失控，加剧比特币跳水
III. Market sentiment is out of control, exacerbating bitcoin dives
数据显示，最近一天中超过十万投资者爆仓，爆仓总额高达34亿美元。这背后是市场情绪的失控。由于高倍杠杆放大波动，比特币价格下跌时，部分投资者难以承受被迫抛售，导致更多卖单，从而形成恶性循环。
The data show that more than 100,000 investors have exploded in the last day, amounting to $3.4 billion. Behind this is market sentiment out of control. When bitcoin prices fall as a result of high leverage, it is difficult for some investors to withstand forced sales, leading to a vicious circle of more sales.
概念股的集体震荡也说明，投资者信心出现动摇。这都让比特币的暴跌雪上加霜。
The collective concussions of the conceptual unit also indicate a wave of investor confidence. This adds to the sharp fall of Bitcoin.
四、网友热议：比特币会死吗？
iv. Netizens are excited: Will Bitcoin die?
对此，网友们议论纷纷。有人直言比特币暴跌已是板上钉钉："这次是真的要死了。政策环境越来越严，监管也开始动真格的了。投机狂欢该结束了。"
There's a lot of debate on the subject. Some say that Bitcoin's going down is going down: "This time it's really going to die. The policy environment is getting tighter and regulation is starting to get real. Speculatory festivities are over."
也有人持相反观点："比特币怎么可能一死了之？这只是短期调整。长期来看，区块链技术仍大有可为，比特币融入主流金融市场的进程也在加速。"
There are also views to the contrary: "How can Bitcoin die? It's just a short-term adjustment. In the long run, block chain technology is still promising, and bitcoin's integration into mainstream financial markets is accelerating."
还有投资者则认为，需要理性看待："比特币波动很正常，作为投资者就要有心理准备。这是一项新生事物，价格反复，但潜力依旧。重要的是制定合理的投资策略，逢低布局。"
There are also investors who believe that there is a need to be rational: "Bitcoin fluctuations are normal and psychologically prepared as an investor. This is a new thing, prices are repeated, but the potential remains. It is important to develop a rational investment strategy, with a low profile."
四、展望未来
IV. Looking ahead
总的来说，这场比特币跳水并不意味着其就此衰落。作为数字货币的开山鼻祖，比特币仍然具有很多优势，如去中心化、防伪、匿名性等，这些优势有助于它走入主流。但与此同时，价格波动也将是常态。
By and large, this bitcoin dive does not mean that it is going down. As the grandkids of digital money, bitcoin still has many advantages, such as decentralization, hypocrisy, anonymity, etc., which help it move into the mainstream.
展望未来，比特币市场需要吸取这次的教训。监管部门可能会出台更多政策，对行业起到规范的作用；投资者则需要理性看待，避免情绪化操作。最关键的是，比特币生态系统需要不断完善，为更广泛的应用奠定基础。这样，比特币才能走得更远。
Looking ahead, the Bitcoin market needs to learn from this lesson. The regulatory sector may have more policies to regulate the industry; investors need to think rationally and avoid emotional manipulation.
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