来源：核财经
说多都是泪，不说了。不过还有更可怕的事情，比特的指标很坏，再次面临水下死叉，如果没有能量，那么，跌破3000线的可能性极大。所以，大家做好准备。
It's a lot of tears, not to say. But there's something even more terrible. Bitter's indicators are bad, and he's facing water again. If he doesn't have the energy, there's a great chance of falling down the 3,000 lines. So, everybody's ready.
我不知道大家有没有感觉，比特从20000线跌倒12000线的时候，我们并没有感到害怕，从12000线跌倒8000线的时候，我们也没有感到害怕，从8000线到6000线的时候，我们似乎还有希望，但是从6000线到3000线的时候，我们很害怕，而且越来越害怕。
I don't know if anyone felt that when Bit fell down the 12,000 line from the 20,000 line, we weren't afraid, we fell down the 8,000 line from the 12,000 line, we didn't feel scared, we seemed to have hope from the 8,000 line to the 6,000 line, but we were scared and growing scared from the 6,000 line to the 3,000 line.
这是为什么，你想过了吗？
{\bord0\shad0\alphaH3D}That's why, have you thought about it?
这是正常的心理状态，20000到12000线的时候，我们说这是正常回调，还会涨起来的，市场需要的只是信心，12000线到8000线的时候，我们说这是周期性调整，等待行情起飞，8000到6000的时候，我们说需要信仰，现在6000线到3000线的时候，以上的借口都用尽了，没理由找借口了。
It's normal mental state, we say it's normal to go back on the 20,000 to the 12,000 lines, we say it's just confidence, we say it's cyclical adjustment, we say it's cyclical to the 8,000 to the 8,000 to the 6000 lines, we say it's belief, we say it's the 6,000 to the 3,000 lines, and there's no excuse.
所以只能越来越害怕，而且最根本的原因是大家手中的token其实没有任何价值。不能吃、不能穿、不能用、不能住，只是一个数字，而且缩水很严重，都只是个预期。没有任何的价值支持，即便是价值币，那些所谓的价值又是什么呢？
So it's only getting more and more scared, and the most fundamental reason is that the token in everyone's hands isn't really worth anything. It's just a number, it's useless, it's useless, it's uninhabitable, it's a shrunk, it's just an expectation. There's no value to strong, even a value coin. What are those values?
改变世界？颠覆世界？有吗？并没有。
"Strong" to change the world? To destabilize the world? Yes? No.
对于这件事，有一个人比我看的更清楚，那就是李笑来，我从李笑来的文章中看到了这次暴跌的真相。
There's one person who knows more about this than I do, and that's Li laughing, and I saw the truth of this fall from Li laughing's article.
这篇文章就是李笑来在11月10和12号的文章中，文章很长，一万多字。这篇文中李笑来说出了区块链的真相。
This is Li's laughter in November 10th and 12th, which is a long article with 10,000 words. Li's laughter tells the truth about the chain of blocks.
一、区块链不是神
The chain of blocks is not God.
没有那么玄乎，简单来说它就是一个分布式自主管理电子账簿技术，用它做出来的电子账簿，无法篡改、公开透明。
不是我们看到的什么搞得很高深莫测，普通人不懂的那样，把区块链神化，跟神一样，让人捉摸不透，没那么神，懂了吗？
It's not what we see that's so unpredictable, as ordinary people don't understand, that the chain of blocks is deluded, like a god, it's inexplicable. It's not that special. Do you understand?
二、对比特币其它方面的改进有必要吗？很多改进不仅是没必要甚至是愚蠢的
II. Is improvements in other aspects of Bitcoin necessary? Many improvements are not only unnecessary, but even stupid.
意思很明显，比特币需要分叉，也不需要扩容，他不需要像支付宝那样达到多少万TPS，它的作用不是支付宝，好吗？
It means clearly that bitcoin needs to split and not expand. He doesn't need to reach as many TPS as a paybaby. It doesn't work as a paybaby, okay?
我就纳闷为什么要那么高的tps能，现在支付宝、微信、银联支付，有问题吗？大家觉得不方便吗？你扪心自问，真的感觉不方便了吗？
I wonder why high tps can pay the treasures, the micro-mails, the silvers. Is that a problem? Is it a problem for everyone? Is it really a problem for you to ask yourself, is it really a problem?
反正我没有，我不知道是我觉悟低，还是怎么回事，我觉得支付宝、微信、银联很好，很快，很方便，也很便捷，几乎没出过错，即便出错，还有客服处理问题，但这个没遇到过。
Anyway, I didn't, I didn't know what was going on, and I felt that the payment treasures, the micro-letters, the silver leagues were very good, very quick, very convenient and very easy, and there was almost no mistake, and even if there was a mistake, there was a customer service problem, but there was no such incident.
那么，请问为何还要比特币来支付，我找不到区块链支付的理由，方便吗？快捷吗？而且中本聪设计比特币就不是为了像支付宝一样，实现高效快捷转账的。
So, why do you have to pay bitcoin, and I can't find any reason to pay the block chain? Is it fast? And it's not the medium-bone design of bitcoin that achieves efficient and rapid transfers like payment treasures.
所以，不要试着去分叉，去提高他的TPS。这些其实没有任何意义。
So, don't try to split up and raise his TPS. These really don't make any sense.
三、区块链并没有颠覆什么
III. The chain of blocks did nothing to destabilize it.
对此，万向区块链说的很清楚了，区块链永远不会把BAT颠覆掉。因为区块链打造的是平行世界，这个世界里没有各种各样的霸主，大家都是做自己擅长的事情。在分布式商业的形态里，人人都可以发挥自己的优势，做自己擅长的、有价值的事情。
It's clear from the block chain that the block chain will never be reversed. Because the block chain is made in a parallel world, where there are no all kinds of lords, we all do what we do best. In the form of distributed commerce, everyone can take advantage and do what they do well and valuablely.
而区块链也不会把传统金融机构完全颠覆掉。有很多互联网公司也在做金融，但是他们做的金融是构建在银行服务之上的，如果互联网技术公司要完全成为金融机构，必须满足监管、资本等各种严格要求。
The chain of blocks does not completely destabilize traditional financial institutions. There are many Internet companies that do finance, but they do finance that is built on banking services, and if Internet technology companies are to become full financial institutions, they have to meet strict regulatory, capital, etc.
所以，不会出现技术公司颠覆掉金融企业的情况，因为他们担负着金融服务和风险管理的责任。当然，金融要拥抱科技，我相信好的金融机构不会被颠覆掉，主要原因是技术公司做不了金融机构所有的职能；其次，金融机构自己也在演进。
So there will be no cases in which technology companies destabilize financial firms, because they are responsible for financial services and risk management. Of course, finance embraces technology, and I believe that good financial institutions will not be dismantled, mainly because they cannot do all their functions; and secondly, financial institutions themselves are evolving.
这个以爱惜欧破产和ETH系代币破发就可以看出来。去年爱惜欧大火的时候，我们都说以太坊要成功颠覆证券市场了。
This can be seen in the bankruptcy of Europe and the collapse of the ETH system. Last year, when we loved the Eurofire, we all said that Ethio was going to succeed in destabilizing the securities market.
但现在呢？一地鸡毛。不仅没有成功颠覆证券市场，而且比特大陆还要IPO，很多区块链公司都要去IPO，这不是笑话吗？
But what is it now? It's not only not successful in destabilizing the stock market, but it's more IPOs on the continent than IPOs, and it's not a joke that a lot of block chain companies are going to IPOs?
当然，很多人认为是打压，如果一个改变世界的东西，打压有用吗？是没用的。所以，爱惜欧破产在于他自身的原因，缺乏制约的最大副作用是犯罪成本太低。
Of course, a lot of people think it's pressure, and if something changes the world, does it work? It's useless. So, it's his own fault that cares about Europe's bankruptcy, and the biggest side effect of lack of restraint is the low cost of crime.
人性是个永恒的问题，我们没办法去反人性。大家为什么在区块链行业亏得这么惨，十万变一千，甚至几百元，就是因为人性问题。
Humanity is a permanent problem, and we can't go against it. Why do you lose so much in the block chain industry, a hundred thousand dollars or even a few hundred dollars, because of human problems?
不要再说区块链要颠覆什么，不是颠覆，当然，很多人都说低迷是暂短的，就好像当年的互联网一样，不是也被打压，也出现了低迷，也有泡沫破灭，但几年之后就重新再起来了吗？
Let's not say what the chain of blocks is about to destabilize, not subversion. Of course, many say that the lowness is short-lived, as if it were the Internet of the year, not under pressure, there was a lowness, there was a burst of bubbles, but did it come back a few years later?
没错，互联网是这样的，那是因为互联网带来了生产和生活方式的变革。而且这需要时间，所以区块链带来真正的东西，也需要时间。
That's right, the Internet, because it brings about changes in production and lifestyle. And it takes time, so the block chain brings real things, and it takes time.
这个时间最短需要两年。李笑来自己说的是它就是很新，乃至于需要人们花很长时间去理解去接受。回想一下过往二十年里，“网络”“互联网”被人们逐渐接受的过程罢。一样的，就是需要很久很久才会被自然接受。
The shortest time is two years. Li laughter himself says it's new, and it takes a long time for people to understand it. Looking back at the past two decades, the Internet has been gradually accepted.
所以，你们想的大爆发，我认为两年之内不会实现。换句话来说，明年不一定有牛市，但有反弹是可能的，或者说是进入一种横盘状态。
So, I don't think it's going to happen in two years. In other words, there's not necessarily a bull market next year, but it's possible to bounce back, or it's going to be a platinum.
四、共识机制问题
IV. The question of consensus mechanisms
这也是EOS最大的问题，这就是为什么EOS暴跌的原因。这个算法是否禁得起时间的考验呢？我们只能拭目以待，时间自有它的判断。
And that's the biggest problem with EOS, and that's why EOS fell. Can't this algorithm withstand the test of time? We can only see that time has its own judgment.
事实上，现在所谓创新共识机制都有问题，去年，区块链大火的时候，各种“新的共识机制”如万千烟花一般散落，反正，到最后，26 个字母都用光了（从 PoA 到 PoZ），但五花八门的共识机制本身是否是创新呢？基本上都谈不上创新，它们并未更有效地解决真问题，甚至，还创造了很多新的麻烦。
In fact, there are problems with what is now called innovative consensus mechanisms. Last year, when the chain of blocks was burning, “new consensus mechanisms” such as thousands of fireworks were scattered, anyway, and finally, 26 letters were empty (from PoA to PoZ), but were consensus mechanisms in themselves innovative?
所以说，那些打着共识机制创新的都是假的，根本没有任何意义。
says that all those innovations with consensus mechanisms are false and meaningless.
那么，现在你明白为什么暴跌了吗？李笑来已经说得很清楚了。最近是个多事之秋，国际矛盾加剧，中美争端不断，华为老板女儿被拘留，科学家神秘去世，总之，现在天下不太平。大家要拿好本钱，准备过冬吧。
It's been a long time, and there's a lot of international tension, and there's a lot of disputes between China and the United States, China's boss's daughter is being detained, scientists are mysteriously dead, and it's not easy. Let's get our money and get ready for the winter.
责任编辑：唐婧
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