距离USDT贬值风波已经过去一周,盘面也在短期的起伏后归于平静,鸡肋市仍旧在持续。
A week after the USDT devaluation wave, the plate was calmed after short periods of ups and downs, and the chicken rib market continued.
上周发生的事情也让稳定币竞争进入白热化,要说之前其他稳定币仅局限喊口号,这回可是借着契机真刀真枪抢市场,在USDT口里夺食。
What happened last week also allowed the stable currency to compete into the white heat. To say that the other stable currency had been limited to slogans, this time it was used to rob the market and eat at the USDT mouth.
数据上反应的也很明显,上周一到昨天,GUSD、TUSD、PAX、USDC一共增加供应量10,4996,719枚,即价值1.05亿美元市值的稳定币。
Data responses were also evident, with a total of 10,496,719 additional supplies from GUSD, TUSD, PAX and USDC, or $105 million worth of stable currency, from Monday to yesterday.
而Bitfinex则在过去的半个月,为了稳定USDT的价格,陆陆续续将9亿的USDT从交易所转回到Tether的钱包地址,以减少供给来稳住人心。但是这2个数据明显差异是比较大的。
For the past six months, Bitfinex, in an effort to stabilize the prices of USDT, transferred 900 million USDTs from the exchange back to Tether’s wallet address in order to reduce the supply to stabilize the population. But the difference between the two figures is significant.
我算了一下,目前在市场上流通的USDT总量是20亿,而其他稳定币的流通量刚刚超过3亿,USDT的市场份额还是占绝对地位。
I calculate that the total volume of USDT currently in circulation in the market is 2 billion, while other stable currencies are just over 300 million, and the market share of USDT remains absolute.
(图表来源小葱)
(Figures coming from onions)
从上面的几个数据我们总结出以下几个结论:
From the above data, we draw the following conclusions:
一是,在这回USDT惊魂事件前,我们说到稳定币,几乎都是在说USDT。毕竟经过3年半的运营,最球最大牌交易所的加持,再加上之前没有其他选择,大家只能选择USDT,所以USDT之前几乎等于稳定币。
One is that, before the flashback of the USDT, we talked about the stable currency, almost all of it. After three and a half years of operation, the biggest card exchanges were held, and there was no other option, we had to choose the USDT, so the USDT was almost equal to the stable currency before.
二是,其他稳定币的市场份额增长只是开始,随着更多其他稳定币的交易对开启,大家有了选择,肯定会倾向于透明度更好,审计更严格的。
Second, market share growth in other stable currencies is only the beginning, and as more stable currency transactions are opened, there is a choice and there will certainly be a preference for better transparency and stricter auditing.
三是,稳定币市场总流通在不断减少。熊市的需求不断减少,各交易所的成交量也纷纷下降,而USDT的流通量一直在高位,造成市场上供给远大于需求,就不难解释之前的多次贬值。这回USDT收回9亿,而其他稳定币才增加1亿就可以很明显看出。我觉得如果要维持USDT的价格稳定,Tether后续还会不断从市场上收回,以减少流通量。
Third, the total flow of stable currency markets is declining. The demand in Bear City is declining, and exchanges are falling, while the flow of USDT is continuing to be high, causing supply in the market to fall well above demand, and it is easy to explain the many devaluations that occurred before.
值得注意的还有火币上周发布的HUSD,官方的解释是1个解决方案。即充入任意稳定币,显示为HUSD,提出时可以选择HUSD方案支持的其他任意稳定币。对于用户来说,挺方便的,也过滤掉单一稳定币价格波动的风险。
It is also worth noting that the currency was released last week by HUSD, the official explanation of which is a solution. That is, it is filled with any stable currency, which appears to be HUSD, and which, when proposed, can be supported by the HUSD program.
但火币开通USDT/HUSD、BTC/HUSD、ETH/HUSD和HUSD场外交易,几乎可以认为火币以大家放在它那里的稳定币作为资产抵押,凭空制造了1个新的稳定币,而不仅仅是他自己说的解决方案,相当于又进行了一道映射,有点影子银行的意思。
But by opening up an off-site transaction with USDT/HUSD, BTC/HUSD, ETH/HUSD and HUSD, it can almost be assumed that it has created a new currency of stability in an empty space, rather than just the solution he himself has described, as if it were another map, some kind of shadow bank.
由于USDT的价格不断回升,今天开始,行情分析回到Bitfinex交易所价格。
Starting today, as the prices of the USDT have been rising, the BIA has returned to the Bitfinex exchange price.
BTC:4小时K线,三角形收敛到尾声,短期会有小波动,回落看6500的支撑。主要还是震荡为主,大家都套着,强力拉升不实际,向下砸,等着抄底的人也很多,主力也左右为难。
BTC: Four hours of K-line, triangulation to the end, short-term small swings, downs to 6,500. It's still mainly a shock, and everybody's doing it. It's not real, it's hard to pull it down, it's a lot of people waiting for the bottom, and it's hard to do the main thing.
ETH:目前比较弱势,几乎跟着比特币走,弱支撑位在205,强支撑在200。
ETH: Currently vulnerable, almost following Bitcoin, weak support position at 205, strong strength at 200.
EOS:走势和BTC、ETH雷同,都在做三角形收敛,支撑位5.3。
EOS: Trends and BTC, ETH mines are all triangulation, supporting position 5.3.
TCT:新版本上线,会将盈利TCT的80%用来销毁。另外这个币在熊市一直很抗跌,强于除比特币之外的所有主流币。近期底部持续放量,量价齐升,上穿多重均线,形成多头排列,值得持续关注。
TCT: The new version goes online, with 80% of the profits on TCT being destroyed. This currency has been strong in Bear City, stronger than all mainstream currencies except Bitcoin.
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