深燃（shenrancaijing）原创
Deep combustion (shenrancaijing)
作者 | 周继凤
Chou Si Feng, author
编辑 | 黎明
♪ The dawn ♪
“爆仓了，亏完了，我现在不持有任何加密货币了。”
"At the end, I don't hold any encrypted currency."
一位投资了比特币和狗狗币的币圈玩家，在经历了5月19日的加密货币集体暴跌后，亏完了所有的本金，默默退出了币圈。
A ring player who had invested in bitcoin and dog money, after a collective collapse of encrypted currency on 19 May, lost all the principal and left the ring in silence.
而在几天前，他还在慷慨激昂地讨论这轮牛市的走向。某种程度上来说，这个玩家似乎是这近100天来整个币圈的缩影。
And a few days ago, he was passionately discussing the direction of the bull market. To some extent, the player seemed to be a microcosm of the entire currency circle for almost 100 days.
去年年末尤其是今年2月份以来，加密货币迎来牛市，小到普通韭菜，大到资本巨鳄，都开始加入到这场疯狂的赌局中。在这短短100天的日子里，上演着无数与财富和贪婪相关的疯狂故事。过去，年轻人热衷的“搞钱”方式，是炒股、炒基金，但是今年他们想玩点儿更刺激的——炒币。
At the end of last year, especially since February, encoded money has come to the bull market, small to ordinary pickles, big to capital giants, and has begun to join this crazy game. In these short 100 days,
他们抱着赚大钱的目的进去，试图成为站在风口上的猪。毕竟，在币圈的江湖里，每天都有一夜暴富的传说，用加密货币这行的话说，不参与其中你拥有的就是“穷下去的乐趣”。
They go in there for the purpose of making big money, trying to be a pig standing in the wind. After all, every day in the currency circle, there is the legend of a rich night, and in the words of encrypted money, what you do not have is “the fun of poverty”.
但是牛市来得快，去得也快。5月19日，加密货币开始暴跌，24小时之内，58万人爆仓，总爆仓金额达到69.1亿美元。初入币圈的新人们，第一次感受到“币圈就是绞肉机，涨跌实在太刺激”。
But the cow market is fast and fast. On May 19, the encoded currency began to crash, and within 24 hours, 580,000 people exploded, amounting to $6.91 billion. For the first time, the newcomers in the currency ring felt, "The currency ring is a meat grinder, and it's too exciting to go up and down."
事实上，加密货币的波动性很强，存在风险且容易产生泡沫。参与其中的人，有人一夜暴富，但更多的人炒币炒到身无分文，负债累累。
In fact, encrypted currencies are highly volatile, risky and prone to bubbles. Some of the people involved are rich overnight, but more of them pay nothing and are heavily indebted.
一位长期关注加密币的玩家指出：“加密货币圈子里从来没有同情，只有镰刀和韭菜。”
币圈一天，人间一年
在币圈有这么一句名言，一念天堂一念地狱。 There's such a famous word in the ring, "Hell" in heaven. 新入币圈不过三天的小林，在5月19日这天，第一次感受到了这句话的意义。 The meaning of this phrase was felt for the first time on 19 May, when the new groves, which had been in the currency ring for no more than three days, came to light. 小林的入坑非常偶然，5月16号这天，他在刷抖音时无意间刷到一段有关狗狗币暴涨的短视频，他意识到花点吃饭的钱也许就能赚到一辈子吃饭的钱，“听听都觉得刺激”，于是立马下注了一万块钱。 On May 16, when Kobayashi accidentally entered the pit, he accidentally painted a short video of the dog coin booming while he was shaking. He realized that he might have spent a little money on eating for the rest of his life, “it was exciting to hear it”, and he immediately put $10,000 on it. 没想到的是，还没等到赚大钱，糟糕的事情就发生了。19日晚上5点，一直盯盘的小林突然发现上扬的绿色K线变红开始向下，一切发生得太快，他还没明白发生了什么，短短十几分钟，狗狗币就跌了十几个点。惊慌失措的小林，完全没见过这阵仗，连忙把截图发到投资狗狗币的群里问群友们：“这是怎么了？” What's unexpected is that bad things happen before you make a lot of money. At 5 p.m. on 19th night, the tree that's been staring at the plate suddenly discovered that the rising green Kline started to turn red. It all happened so fast that he didn't know what was going on. Ten minutes later, the puppies fell by a dozen points. 小林不知道的是，他遭遇了近几个月来，币圈最大的暴跌。当天，币圈崩盘的消息一度冲上热搜。不止狗狗币，加密货币全线暴跌，其中比特币一度跌破3万美元/枚，24小时跌幅达30%；以太坊跌破2000美元大关，跌超40%；而狗狗币失守0.3美元/枚，日内跌超40%。 What does not know is that in recent months he has experienced the biggest swing in the currency ring . The news of the collapse of the currency was hot on that day. More than a dog's currency, the entire line of the encrypted currency fell. Bitcoins fell by 30,000 dollars per day, and by 30 per cent in 24 hours; the tutela fell by more than 40 per cent; and the dog's currency lost 0.3 dollars per day, or by more than 40 per cent per day. 币圈一片哀鸿遍野。不少刚踏入币圈的新韭菜们，第一次感受到了币圈的残酷。在这场暴跌游戏中，损失惨重的不止是小林。 The strongs are all over the world. Many of the new pickles who have just entered the troupe have felt for the first time the cruelness of the troupe . In this crashing game, it is not just Kobayashi who has lost a lot of money. 自称平凡赌徒老韭菜的李亮，在19日晚突然收到了自己要爆仓的通知。李亮急忙补仓，但是已经来不及了，十几万人民币打了水漂。“我没有敢用十几倍甚至几十倍的杠杆，只用了三倍的杠杆。没有想到还是出了问题。” Lee Liang, who claims to be an old gambler, suddenly received notice of his intention to blow up the warehouse on the night of 19th. Liang was in a hurry to make up the warehouse, but it was too late, and hundreds of thousands of yuan were washed up. “I didn't dare to use a dozen times, if not dozens of times, but only three times. I didn't think there was a problem.” 事实上，如同李亮一样，币圈越来越多的人不满足于一般的看涨看跌，开始玩起了数十倍甚至上百倍杠杆的“赌多空”游戏。杠杆可以在短期提高盈利率，但是一旦遇到亏损，也会面临血本无归的情况。如果亏损金额超过押金，那么就会被强制全部卖出，即“爆仓”。 In fact, like Liang, more and more people in the currency circle are not satisfied with the average viewing up and down, starting to play a game of "breaths" that is dozens, if not hundreds, of leverage. Leverage can increase profitability in the short term, but it can also face a loss of blood. If the loss exceeds the deposit, it is forced to sell it all, that is, a "blast warehouse." 比特币家园的数据显示，因为19日的暴跌，截至5月20日上午7点半，过去24小时约58万人爆仓，总爆仓达69.1亿美元（约合444亿元人民币）。 Data from the Bitcoin Home show that, as of 7:30 a.m. on 20 May, approximately 580,000 people had exploded in the last 24 hours, totalling $6.91 billion (approximately RMB 44.4 billion). 在这场暴跌的3个小时后，这些加密货币纷纷开始反弹。但有很多人没绷住，没等到价格反弹，就准备割肉了。一位投资狗狗币的网友就发微博吐槽，在狗狗币0.53美元时买入，以为是抄底，结果刚买完就一路狂跌，于是在0.27美元的时候卖了，没想到刚卖完，狗狗币开始反弹，一下子涨到了0.35美元。这肉算是白割了，自己也长成了新晋的韭菜。 Three hours after the crash, these encrypted currencies began to rebound. But many people were ready to cut meat without quenching and waiting for the price to rebound. One of the networkers who invested in the dog coins gave us a microblog, bought it at the price of $0.53 and bought it as a bottom, and sold it at the price of $0.27, and then sold it at the time of the sale, when it was just sold, the dog coins started to bounce and rose to $0.35. This meat was white, and it grew into a new dish. 这场暴跌此前早有预兆。市场研究公司Arcane Research称，市场情绪的下降是在过去一周比特币价格暴跌之后发生的。比特币价格跌破5万美元后，比特币市场已转向“极度恐慌”。 Market research company Arcane Research claims that the fall in market sentiment followed a sharp fall in bitcoin prices over the past week. After the fall in bitcoin prices by $50,000, the bitcoin market has turned to “extreme panic.” 并且，最近，国家开始不断收紧对加密币的管制。比如国务院金融稳定发展委员会在第五十一次会议中明确，打击比特币挖矿和交易行为，坚决防范个体风险向社会领域传递。消息出来后，外围加密货币市场再度暴跌。 Moreover, recently, the state began to tighten its controls on encrypt currency. For example, the State Council’s Financial Stability Development Committee, at its fifty-first meeting, made it clear that it would combat the mining and trading of bitcoin and would be determined to prevent individual risks from being transmitted to the social sphere. 短暂的财富狂欢 这场暴跌之前，币圈已经疯狂了近半年。 The currency ring has been mad for almost six months before this storm. 去年年末，尤其是今年2月份以来，加密货币市场迎来牛市。比特币一路疯涨，价格一度超过6.4万美元/枚。比特币的暴涨也带动了其他加密货币的价格走高。 At the end of last year, especially since February, the market for encrypted money has come to the bull market. Bitcoins have gone up all the way, at a price of over $64,000. Bitcoins have also led to higher prices for other encrypted currencies. 这一轮牛市与以往不同的是，一些原本是出于恶搞而诞生的山寨币，开始逐渐受到追捧。 In contrast to the past, some of the bounties that had originally been born as a result of peddling began to gain popularity. 比如，因讽刺比特币而诞生的山寨币狗狗币，在短短几个月时间内价格竟然上涨了100多倍。 For example, the sarcasm of bitcoin, which was born, rose by more than 100 times in just a few months. 更夸张的是，受到狗狗币的启发而诞生的柴犬币（SHIB，也称屎币），前段时间上演了一场荒诞剧。因为马斯克在一条关于SHIB的推特下留言称，“我正在寻找一只柴犬狗”。随后，SHIB价格大涨。并且，5月10日17点，SHIB登陆币安交易所，上线仅十分钟就因为流量过载令交易所宣布暂停所有提款，直到17点34分才恢复提款。 What is even more exaggerating is the fact that SHIB, also known as turd coins, was inspired by dog coins, and that the previous period was the scene of a frenzy. As Musk left a message on SHIB, saying, “I'm looking for a wooddog.” Then, SHIB prices rose sharply. And, on 17 May, SHIB landed at the Exchange, which announced a 10-minute suspension of all withdrawals due to traffic overflow, until 17.34. 除了柴犬币、狗狗币之外，各类犬币、狐狸币、猪猪币、蚂蚁币、兔兔币，甚至皮卡丘币层出不穷，风头甚至盖过了比特币、以太坊等主流加密货币。 In addition to firewood, dog coins, canine coins, fox coins, hog coins, ant coins, rabbit rabbit coins, and even pickups, the wind has even covered the main encrypted currency such as Bitcoin, Etheria, etc. 很多人涌入币圈的逻辑很简单，一位网友就指出：“比特币翻了至少40万倍，创造了多少财富自由的人。只要不玩杠杆，投几万就在那放着，说不定过了几年直接改变人生，就算亏了，也没啥。” The logic of a lot of people rushing into the currency circle is simple, and one of them says, "Pitcoin flips by at least 400,000 times and creates a lot of freedom of wealth. If you don't use leverage, you put tens of thousands of dollars there, and maybe after a few years you change your life, it's nothing." 比特币在2009年刚发售的时候价格还不到1美分，1美元可以兑换1300个比特币，到2017年末狂飙至1万8千美元，之后不断起伏波动，从2020年年末再次经历又一轮疯涨，2021年3月份比特币已经突破了6万美元大关，尽管最近回落到将近4万美元，但也依旧暴涨了几千倍。也就是说，如果你在早期用一包烟的钱买了比特币，现在至少已经财务自由了。 Bitcoin had a price of less than a cent when it was first sold in 2009, $1 could be converted to 1,300 bitcoins, and by the end of 2017, it had jumped to $18,000, followed by a further surge in volatility from the end of 2020. Bitcoin had already crossed the $60,000 mark in March 2021, and, although it had recently fallen to nearly $40,000, it had risen several thousand times. That is, if you had bought bitcoons with a pack of cigarettes in the early years, it was at least financially free now. 但如今，比特币已是高攀不起的“高富帅”，也很难再出现千百倍的暴涨。大家都指望着这些山寨币、动物币翻身。 Today, however, Bitcoin is already a tall, rich and handsome man, and it is very difficult to rise a thousand times more. Everyone is counting on these bounties, the animal coins, to turn over. 而且，越来越多的没有投资经验的年轻人加入到这场财富狂欢中。Steven就是一名90后，他看周围的同事都在买狗狗币、SHIB，于是他自己也入手了600元。另一位90后玩家柚子基本上没有什么投资经验，不懂什么是加密币、什么是区块链，最开始只投入了400元的他惊喜地发现，两天的时间收益就翻了两番。他意识到：“这是我唯一改变阶层的机会了。” And, a growing number of young people with no investment experience joined this wealth festivities. Steven was a 90-year-old, and he looked around at his colleagues buying dog coins, the SHIB, and he started out with $600 himself. Another 90-year-old player had little investment experience, didn't know what an encoded coin was or what a block chain was, and he was surprised to discover that the two-day gain had quadrupled. He realized, "This is my only chance to change class." 正如一位微博大V所说的：“进入了几个SHIB的群后，我发现居然都是95后和00后。他们囤SHIB就是买一个希望。传统市场告诉我房子保值，我买不起；币圈赚到钱的人告诉我比特币保值，我一样买不起。” As one of the microblogging Vs said, "By entering a group of SHIBs, I found that it was all after 95 and 00. They hoarded the SHIB to buy a hope. The traditional market told me that the house was safe and I couldn't afford it; the people who made the money told me that I couldn't afford the bitcoin." 来源 / 视觉中国 Source / Visual China 在暴跌前夕，整个市场躁动的情绪已经到达了顶点。由CNNMoney开发的恐怖与贪婪指数试图可视化地显示加密货币市场情绪的变化。以比特币为例，比特币的恐怖与贪婪指数一度达到79， 意味着市场已经非常贪婪（0表示“极度恐惧”，100表示“极度贪婪”）。 The terror and greed index developed by CNN Money attempts to visualize changes in the mood in the crypto-currency market. In Bitcoin, for example, the terror and greed index reached 79, meaning that the market is already very greedy (0 for “extreme fear” and 100 for “extreme greed”). 由于加密货币的行情太好，不少年轻人第一次投资赚到了钱。也许是钱来得太快，被暴利冲昏了头脑的不在少数。一位财经大V分享到，不少币圈新人见到不错的代币项目就冲了进去，结果被割了韭菜。但是这些项目往往都是成功项目的仿盘。例如，有些所谓的项目实际上发行了100亿枚币，但是这些项目方手里可能就有90亿枚，等所有人都买入了，币价上去了，杀猪盘的项目方把手里90亿瞬间卖出去，没有任何成本就可以圈钱跑路了。“这就是杀猪盘，但是这些币圈新人很多时候是分辨不出来的，他们只会把屎币、狗狗币的成功，归结于自己的能力。因为当时赚钱太容易了。” For example, some of the so-called projects actually issued 10 billion coins, but all of them had 9 billion in hand, and the price went up, and the pig-killing project had nine billion in its hand, so that no cost could run around. “This is a pig-killing plate, but it's a lot of time that the newcomers can't tell from each other, and they're just trying to turn the shit, the dog, into their own power.” 观察到近几个月来的奇观，一位长期关注加密币的业内人士指出：“当越来越多人了解到加密币可以投资的时候，其实牛市也就到了尾声，暴跌肯定会来，我也不知道具体哪一天，但我知道肯定会来的。” Looking at the wonders of recent months, one of those who had a long-standing interest in encryption notes that “when more and more people know that encryption money can be invested, the cow market is at the end of the day, and it's bound to fall, and I don't know which day, but I know it will come.” 没想到的是，这一天这么快就到来了。 What I didn't know was that the day had come so soon. 谁能赚到钱？ Who can make money? 99%的人来到币圈都是想暴富的，但暴富没那么容易。 Ninety-nine per cent of the people in the currency circle want to be rich, but it's not that easy. “实际上90%的人都不是一夜暴富的，也就是说会有很长一段时间的积累，然后在某一次行情好的时候赚到很多。”2017年就入坑币圈的皮克斯指出。说白了，就是得多交几次学费，被多割几次韭菜。 "In fact, 90% of people are not rich overnight, which means they'll accumulate over a long period of time, and then earn a lot at a good time." Pixar, who entered the ring in 2017, pointed out that "strong" means paying extra tuition and cutting more pickles. 另一位长期关注币圈的玩家小斌同样也认为：“别看比特币从不到一块钱涨到现在的接近4万美元一枚，但是实际上真正暴富的人没那么多。” Another player, Bin, who had a long-term interest in currency circles, agreed: “Don't look at Bitcoin rising from less than one dollar to nearly 40,000 dollars today, but in fact there are not as many people who are really rich.” 毕竟在币圈风险太高，诱惑也太大了。 After all, the risk in currency circles is too high and the temptation is too high. 由于缺乏监管、流动性强，加密货币的价格波动极大，且加密货币没有涨跌停限制，7×24小时不间断交易，风险远超股市。 The price of encrypted currencies is highly volatile due to a lack of regulation and liquidity, and there are no upward and drop restrictions on encrypted currencies, 7× round-the-clock transactions take place with far greater risks than the stock market. 皮克斯在2017年就入了圈，当年他投入了10万块钱到最后亏到只剩2万块。有了这样惨痛的经历，他才意识到，在币圈还需要了解和学习区块链知识，至少知道里面的运作逻辑是怎样的，顺便还得了解点儿金融、政治等相关领域的知识。 Pixar entered the circle in 2017, where he spent $100,000 until he finally lost 20,000. He realized that in the currency, he needed to know and learn about the chain of blocks, at least what the logic of operations was, and, at the same time, about finance, politics, and so on. 除了了解加密币外，认知和时机也很重要。“你怎么知道涨到3000的时候，是涨还是跌？这是认识问题。同时，时机很重要，如果是2017年年底买入的人，需要经过两年蛰伏期，才能在2020年看到上涨的曙光。”皮克斯指出。 In addition to knowing the encoded currency, awareness and timing are also important. “How do you know if it's going up or down to 3,000?” That's a question of recognition. At the same time, it's important that people who buy it at the end of 2017 take two years to see the light of the rise in 2020. 而且，在币圈的财富，像过山车一样，来得快，去得也快。尤其是在经历低谷、巨额亏损后，能否保持冷静，非常考验心态。举个例子，李亮在2017年，随随便便投进去1万多，当时赶上行情好，本金收益快达到100倍，收益最高到了七位数。钱来得太快又太多。“一辈子都没见过那么多钱。”没想到，整个数字货币的行情突然又变差，李亮慌了，然后开始玩起了杠杆，最后当初凭运气赚的钱，都凭实力亏了进去。 And the wealth in the currency circle, like a roller coaster, comes quickly, and goes fast. It's hard to be calm, especially after a downfall and a huge loss. For example, Li Qing, in 2017, put in more than 10,000 randomly, catching up to 100 times the principal's profit, and earning up to seven digits. Money comes too fast and too much. “I haven't seen that much money in my life.” Unfortunately, the whole digital currency suddenly went bad again, Li Qing panicked, then started to use leverage, and in the end, luck-earned money was lost on its strength. “韭菜”们追涨杀跌，但在这场与财富相关的游戏中，普通散户基本处于食物链底端。真正的幕后玩家都在闷声发大财。 The strongs are chasing and falling, but in this wealth-related game, the common slobs are basically at the bottom of the food chain. The real players behind the scenes are making a lot of money. 比如，无论涨跌与否，开交易所的永远都会赚钱。以美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase为例，4月14日，Coinbase成功挂牌上市。财报显示，这家公司在2021年第一季度总收入高达18亿美元，大部分的营收主要来自于交易费用，并且利润惊人，一季度的净利润为7.71亿美元，远高于去年同期的3200万美元。 For example, in the case of Coinbase, the largest encrypted currency exchange in the United States, on April 14, Coinbase was placed on the market. The financial statements showed that the company had a total revenue of $1.8 billion in the first quarter of 2021, with most of its revenue coming from transaction costs, and its profits were staggering, with a net profit of $771 million a quarter, well above the $32 million in the same period last year. 除了交易所之外，皮克斯指出，挖矿的矿场老板同样也在闷声发大财。 In addition to the exchange, Pix noted that mine owners were also squeezing for money. 矿场的出现与比特币的产出方式息息相关。比特币需要产出者利用特定的算法去“挖比特币”。相当于，谁先解答对了这道题，谁就能获得相应的比特币奖励，先到者先得。并且比特币的数量是有限的，初期，虚拟货币很容易挖到，这时候挖矿的用电量也不大。但随着挖矿越来越困难，用电量越来越大，能耗也会变得很高。 The presence of mines is closely linked to the way Bitcoin produces its output. Bitcoin requires a particular algorithm to be used by the producer to “develop bitcoin.” Correspondingly, anyone who answers the question first gets the corresponding bitcoin reward, first of all. And the number of bitcoins is limited. 在这场挖矿游戏中，不少人购买矿机，将矿场建立在电力丰富的区域，开始大规模挖矿。根据《华尔街日报》2月17日的报道，中国人目前掌握着全世界70%的比特币处理能力。廉价的水力与电力资源，让中国人稳稳坐在了挖矿的铁王座上。 According to the Wall Street Journal, on February 17, Chinese now hold 70% of the world’s Bitcoins. Cheap water and electricity resources keep the Chinese on the Iron Throne. “而挖矿的矿场场主，相当于手握金矿，低价的时候可以囤币，高价的时候则可以卖出。”皮克斯指出。 “The mine owners, on the other hand, are equal to holding gold, and can hoard currency when prices are low and sell when prices are high.” Pixels points out. 另外，不少机构和资本巨头也在这场游戏中赚了大钱。比如，特斯拉通过炒比特币赚了不少钱。特斯拉表示在一季度出售了2月份购买的价值15亿美元的比特币中的一部分，为当季贡献了1.01亿美元利润。这一金额接近该公司当季总利润的四分之一。 In addition, a number of institutions and capital giants have made a lot of money in the game. For example, Tesla has made a lot of money through the baffling of bitcoins. Tesla has sold a portion of the $1.5 billion worth of bitcoins purchased in February in a single quarter, contributing $101 million to the season. 不止是特斯拉开始炒币，越来越多的机构开始加入炒币大军。 It was not only Tesla that began to scoff, but more and more agencies began to join the army. 自2020年以来，因为全球央行流动性宽松等因素，许多海外公司都开始购买比特币用以对抗通胀。比如，去年12月份，资产管理规模达273亿美元的英国投资机构Ruffer Investment Management突然宣布将2.5%投资组合投向比特币。 Since 2020, because of factors such as the liquidity easing of the global central bank, many overseas companies have been buying bitcoins to fight inflation. For example, last December, the UK investment agency Ruffer Investment Management, with its asset management size of $27.3 billion, announced suddenly that it would invest 2.5% of its portfolio in bitcoins. 但从目前的形式来看，加密币的好日子似乎到头了。国内，国务院金融委已表态，严厉打击比特币挖矿和交易行为，美国也准备打击用比特币进行逃税的人。 But in its current form, the days of encryption seem to be over. Domestically, the State Department’s Financial Committee has taken a stand against bitcoin mining and trading, and the United States is prepared to fight tax evasion using bitcoin. 尽管投资加密货币风险巨大，庄家和交易所才是真正的赢家，但是信徒们对于加密货币的热情依旧不减。暴跌后，这场赌局似乎还没结束。 Despite the huge risk of investing in encrypted money, the real winner is the dealer and the exchange, the enthusiasm of believers for encrypted money continues unabated. After the crash, the game does not seem to be over. 一位比特币的玩家告诉深燃：“我依旧深信包括比特币在内的数字货币的未来一定会很光明。” A bitcoin player told Deep Fire: “I remain convinced that the future of digital money, including Bitcoin, will be bright.” 而正如诺贝尔经济学奖得主保罗·克鲁格曼（Paul Krugman）所说 ，比特币是类似邪教的数字货币，它总能找到新的信徒，而这些信徒将确保其无限期地生存下去。“我已经放弃了对比特币即将消亡的预测。似乎总会有新的信徒出现。也许他们只是把它当作一个可以无限期生存的邪教。” And, as the Nobel laureate in economics, Paul & Middot; Paul Krugman, said, *题图及文中配图来源于Pexels。应被采访者要求，文中李亮、皮克斯、小斌、小林、Steven、柚子均为化名。 At the request of the interviewer, Li Qing, Pixar, Bin, Kobayashi, Steven and grapefruit are aliases.
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