“去马斯克化”成为币圈最大的声量
撰文/ 陈邓新 编辑/ 高 智
Author/ Chen Deng Jin & nbsp; Editor/ High Wisdom
比特币,似乎有撑不住的迹象。
Bitcoin, it seems there's a sign of impatience.
2021年5月19日,比特币兑美元的价格暴跌,非但跌破4万美元大关,更是击穿30周线,创了近三个月的新低,也打开了进一步下跌的空间。
On 19 May 2021, the price of Bitcoin fell sharply against the United States dollar. Instead of breaking the $40,000 mark, it hit the 30-week line, hit a new low of nearly three months and opened up space for further decline.
更为糟糕的是,虚拟货币整体价格雪崩,主流跌幅在30%以上,币圈一片哀鸿遍野,人们将怒火发泄到马斯克身上。
Worse still, the price of the virtual currency as a whole avalanche, with the dominant fall of more than 30 per cent, the circle of currency abounds, and the anger is unleashed on Musk.
“去马斯克化”成为币圈最大的声量。
“Go to Mascocization” became the biggest volume in the currency circle.
此情此景,与当年纵横币圈的李笑来何其相似,那么,将马斯克与李笑来混为一谈,有何道理?昔日叱咤风云的币圈大佬,如今又怎么样了?监管加码,这波虚拟货币行情是否正在退潮?
So what's the point of mixing Mask with Lee's smile? What's going on now?
打的是明牌,愿者上钩
“马斯克,跟李笑来就是同路人。”币圈玩家褚伯然如是说。
"Mask, you're on the same side as Lee." Money-coopers say that.
从事软件开发的褚伯然,原本对虚拟货币不屑一顾,从心理上就不认可所谓的“稀缺性”,直到2013年年末在饭桌上听闻多个版本的币圈逆袭故事之后,才怦然心动。
The so-called “difficultness” was not psychologically accepted by the software development industry, which had been indifferent to virtual currency, until late 2013 after hearing multiple versions of the currency rebuttal story at the table.
“币圈一日,人间一年,真不是开玩笑的。”褚伯然告诉锌刻度,碰到行情好的时候,虚拟货币一天的涨幅,抵得过股市一年的收益,“我们普通人不就是想用几个月工资,赚到一辈子的钱嘛。”
"One day in a circle, one year in a world, it's no joke." Bob told Zinc that, when it comes to good behavior, the virtual currency increases one day over a year in the stock market, "We're ordinary people trying to earn a lifetime of money with a few months' wages."
“××币,今年必上×××元”
“× × currency, this year's × × & dollars”
“没有×倍,休想让我卖出”
"No × double, don't want me to sell."
“现在除了××币,其他的我全都看不上”
"I can't see anything except × × currency."
上述言论,在币圈屡见不鲜,早已见怪不怪了,而在“因为穷,所以渴望暴富”的背景之下,割韭菜也成为币圈的关键词。
These statements, which are commonplace in currency circles, have long been surprising, and the cutting of vegetables has also become the key word in currency circles in the context of the desire to be rich because of poverty.
对此,褚伯然记忆尤深:“当年跟着李笑来炒从比特币炒到山寨币,要不是‘录音门’说了大白话,我还是他的信徒。”
“I would have been one of his followers had it not been for the word ‘recording door’.”
虚拟货币集体暴跌
在褚伯然看来,马斯克与李笑来有三个共同之处。
In his view, Mask and Lee had three things in common.
首先,都知晓为骗局。
first of all, we all know it's a scam.
李笑来曾一针见血指出虚拟货币的本质:“最大的价值叫共识价值,OK,共识啥意思?它不值钱,但是信的人那么多,到最后就值钱了。”
"The greatest value is a consensus value, OK. What does consensus mean? It's not worth it, but so many people believe in it, and it's worth it in the end."
李笑来
而马斯克在美国时间5月9日参加美国知名综艺节目《周六夜现场》上,吹嘘狗狗币势不可挡、必将席卷全球”之余,也坦承:“是的,这是一场‘骗局’。”
“Yes, it is a ‘false’” in addition to the fact that Mr. Musketeer boasts that the dog's currency is inexorable and is bound to engulf the world on the 9th of May U.S. time at the famous U.S. Discovery of Saturday Nights.
换而言之,两者都揣着明白装糊涂。
In other words, both are confused.
其次,都在翻云覆雨。
next, it's all over again.
作为彼时币圈的顶流,李笑来非但鼓吹比特币,也不时为其他币种站台,他说那个币好,粉丝们就跟着买买买,于是价格坐地起飞,之后又尘归尘、土归土。
As the upper stream of the currency circle, Li laughed not only to promote bitcoin, but also to stand up for other currencies from time to time. He said that the coin was good, and the fans bought it, and then took off at a price and then returned to dust and dust.
而马斯克不遑多让。
And Musk doesn't let up much.
据公开资料显示,推特首席执行官杰克?多尔西4月在推特上转发了一篇名为《比特币激励可再生能源发展》的论文,马斯克称赞表达认可,可到了5月就以高耗能之名弃之;狗狗币价格暴涨或暴跌,皆由其一言决定。
According to public sources, in April, Chief Executive of Twitter, Jack Dorsey, transmitted a paper on Twitter entitled Bitcoin Incentives for Renewable Energy Development, and Mr. Mask praised the endorsement that could be abandoned in May in the name of high energy consumption; the price of the dog's currency rose or fell sharply, depending on what was said.
如此一来,比特币、狗狗币等虚拟货币的走势尽在马斯克一言一行的笼罩之下,而无数炒家则活在被其支配的恐惧阴影中。
As a result, the movement of virtual currencies such as Bitcoin and Dogcoin has been overshadowed by the movement of Muskeh, while countless families are living in the shadow of fear at their disposal.
再次,都站台了奇葩币。
李笑来站台了马勒戈币,马斯克带货了屎币,从名字来看就知晓这两种币都不正经,散发着浓厚的戏谑成分与玩梗色彩。 Li laughter came to the stand with Malgocoin, and Mask brought with him coins of shit, knowing by name that the two coins were impertinent, with a thick composition of drama and inflammation. 一名业内人士表示:“流量才是币圈的核心竞争力,其他都是浮云,这也是为什么敢这么赤裸裸割韭菜的缘故,打的是明牌,愿者上钩。” According to one insider, “the flow is the core competitiveness of the currency circle, and the rest is the cloud, and that is why you dare to cut the cuisine in such a naked manner, playing the sign, and the willing to take the bait”. 割韭菜的套路从未变 从底层逻辑来看,马斯克与昔日币圈大佬割韭菜的套路也有异曲同工之处。 From the bottom logic, there are similarities between the moscow and the old Japanese-collar slicing chords. 在币圈有一句老话“炒币不如囤币,囤币不如发币”,如若想钱来得快,发行空气币堪为一条捷径。 In the currency ring, there is an old saying that “frogging is not as good as hoarding and hoarding is not as good as selling” and that issuing air currency is a shortcut if the money comes quickly. 所谓空气币,是指白皮书主要由项目计划构成,无技术细节甚至无代码都没有,以价格波动为唯一标准,因而轻技术重营销,满满的韭菜味。 The white paper refers to the fact that the white paper consists mainly of project plans, with no technical details or even codes, with price fluctuations as the only criterion, and is therefore heavily marketed with light technology and full of pickles. 譬如,马斯克推崇的狗狗币,即没有白皮书,又没有技术理念的突破,更是在2014年初取消了1000亿个数量上限,变成一种通货膨胀的虚拟货币,被圈内人士质疑为空气币。 For example, the dog-coin promoted by Musk, without white papers and without a breakthrough in technology, was replaced by the elimination of 100 billion volume caps at the beginning of 2014 as a virtual currency of inflation, which was questioned as air currency by insiders. 当然,随着玩家心智的提升,纯粹的空气币太容易被识破,怎么办呢,找人代写项目白皮书、编写项目源代码、搭建区块链官网等。 "Strong" of course, as the player's mind rises, pure air coins are too easy to understand. What do we do? Get someone to write a white paper on the project, prepare a source code for the project, build a network of block officers, etc. 一名资深程序员告诉锌刻度:“包装一个ICO项目,只需一周时间,10多万元就可以搞定。” A senior programmer told Zinc scale: “Contain an ICO project in a week, and more than $100,000 will do it.” 不管怎么变,空气币的本质并未改变,因而名人效应才是其能否大行其道的关键。 In any event, the nature of the air currency has not changed, so the celebrity effect is the key to its ability to do a great job. 有媒体2018年统计发现,为空气币代言最多的是李笑来、薛蛮子等币圈大佬,而空气币正式发布后,相比众筹价格,跌幅都在85%以上,投资者几乎血本无归。 According to media statistics in 2018, Li Xiaoqiao and Xue Junzi are the most popular speakers of air currency, which has fallen by more than 85 per cent in comparison to the price raised by the public, with the investor almost lost his life. 当下,李笑来与薛蛮子的命运也各有不同。 At this point, Li's smile is different from the fate of Xue. 李笑来扮演围观者的角色,时不时为马斯克摇旗呐喊,除此之外则多次表示不再对外站台:“我个人不会再直接参与任何区块链行业新项目的投资与孵化。即便间接参与,为了避免误导投资者,我也会禁止项目方披露与我相关的信息。” Li smiled to play the role of a watcher, and from time to time shouted for Mask, and said repeatedly that he would no longer stand outside: “I personally will no longer be directly involved in the investment and incubation of any new projects in the block chain industry. Even indirectly, in order to avoid misleading investors, I would prohibit the project party from disclosing information that is relevant to me.” 薛蛮子则重出江湖,又干起了以前的勾当,为奇亚币、狗狗大陆、狗狗金融等站台,喊单依然是“低投资、高回报”的那一套。 Xue, for his part, has returned to his previous business of “low investment, high return” for Chiaco, the mainland and dog finance. 如今,狗狗金融等空气币断头铡式暴跌,引来网友调侃:“能不能有点志气,一上来就割韭菜。”,也有网友感慨:“68岁的人了,都快入土了,好好享受生活不好吗?还在做这种事。” Now, dog finance and other aircoats are collapsing, and they're saying, "Can't you be a little ambitious and cut off your vegetables?" And they're saying, "68-year-olds, they're about to go to the ground. Enjoy your life. You're still doing that." 而被李笑来点名“忽悠”的波场币创始人孙宇晨,此前相当低调,直到比特币跌破4万美元之际才出来抄底,宣称以1.53亿美元购入4145枚比特币,均价为36,868美元,再次成为媒体的焦点。 Sun Woo, the founder of the Bounty Currency named by Li laughter, did not come out until the $40,000 bitcoin fell, claiming to buy 4145 bitcoins for $153 million at an average price of $36,868 and again became the focus of the media. 孙宇晨宣称抄底比特币 由牛转熊,势不可挡? "Strong" from a cow to a bear, unstoppable? 抛开币圈大佬割韭菜的不谈,虚拟货币本身的投资逻辑也正在被颠覆。 The logic of the investment of the virtual currency itself is being subverted, leaving aside the fact that the big man in the currency is cutting vegetables. 一方面,数字人民币崛起。 On the one hand, the digital renminbi rises. 马云曾公开表示:“区块链不是泡沫,比特币才是,而且区块链不是金矿,不可能一夜暴富,区块链必须解决社会问题,是一种解决隐私、信用问题的技术。” Maun has stated publicly: “The block chain is not a bubble, it is a bitcoin, and the block chain is not a gold mine, it cannot be rich overnight, and the block chain must address social issues and be a technology for addressing privacy and credit problems.” 归根到底,虚拟货币不是区块链的正确打开方式,数字人民币才是。 In the final analysis, virtual currency is not the right way to open the chain of blocks, but the digital renminbi. 据公开资料显示,数字人民币由中国人民银行发行,为有国家信用背书、有法偿能力的法定货币,其与纸钞硬币等价。 According to public information, the digital renminbi is issued by the People's Bank of China as a legal currency with State credit endorsement and legal capacity, at the equivalent of paper coins. 眼下,数字人民币正在京津冀、长三角、粤港澳大湾区等展开试点,应用于机场、校园、酒店、商场、重大赛事场馆等场景。 For the time being, the digital renminbi is being piloted in Kyoto, the Long Triangle and the Bay of Australasia district of Hong Kong, and is being used in airports, campuses, hotels, malls and major venues. 一名私募人士告诉锌刻度:“发行数字人民币,既能争夺未来货币竞争的制高点,又能降低货币发行成本,还能打击偷税、洗钱、欺诈等违法行为,更能降低金融服务门槛,可谓一举四得。” A private recruit told zinc scale: “The issuance of a digital renminbi can compete for the high points of future currency competition and reduce the cost of currency distribution, as well as combat tax evasion, money-laundering, fraud, etc., and lower the threshold for financial services. 另外一方面,监管加码。 On the other hand, regulation plus. 在国内,20201年5月18日,中国互联网金融协会、中国银行业协会、中国支付清算协会一致认为虚拟货币交易炒作活动严重侵害人民群众财产安全,扰乱经济金融正常秩序。 At the national level, on 18 May 2020, the China Internet Finance Association, the China Banking Association and the China Payments Clearing Association agreed that the campaign of virtual currency transactions seriously undermined the security of people's property and disrupted the normal economic and financial order. 于是,联合发表公告称:“金融机构、支付机构等会员单位要切实增强社会责任,不得用虚拟货币为产品和服务定价,不得承保与虚拟货币相关的保险业务或将虚拟货币纳入保险责任范围,不得直接或间接为客户提供其他与虚拟货币相关的服务。” As a result, a joint announcement was issued stating that “financial institutions, payment agencies, etc., are required to effectively promote social responsibility by not pricing products and services in virtual currency, by not covering insurance operations related to virtual currency or by including virtual currency in insurance liability, and by not directly or indirectly providing other services related to virtual currency to clients”. 这意味着,参与虚拟货币交易的银行卡存在被封杀的可能,而一旦无法兑换现实中的法币,虚拟货币则可能沦为游戏币,进而抬升了交易门槛、降低了交易共识。 This means that bank cards involved in virtual currency transactions are likely to be blocked, while virtual currency may become a game currency if it cannot be converted to the actual French currency, thus raising the transaction threshold and lowering the consensus on transactions. 炒币令人疯狂 在国外,美国证券交易委员会新任掌门人Gary Gensler,敦促美国国会通过立法授予对加密货币交易场所的监管权。 Abroad, Gary Gensler, the new head of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission, urged the United States Congress to pass legislation granting regulatory authority to encrypted currency trading sites. 监管严厉之下,虚拟货币又谈何未来。 With strict regulation, what is the future of virtual money? 总而言之,虚拟货币的恶炒之风恐难以维系,行情由牛市转为熊市或正在酝酿,此背景下更应该警惕的是马斯克、薛蛮子等币圈大佬。 All in all, the vagaries of the virtual currency are difficult to sustain, moving from cattle to bear, or are being developed, and in this context, it is all the more important to be wary of the giants of Musk and Xue, among others. 毕竟,割韭菜,他们手熟。 After all, cut the pickles, they're hand-cooked.
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