2020年是新冠疫情的爆发期，办公室迎来大量空置，导致市场对实体的信心急剧减弱，回到今年，办公室空置情况并未得到明显改善，利率上升加上硅谷银行爆雷等一系列负面事件进一步加深了市场对实体的怀疑，普遍的恐惧，加上经济基本面影响，近几个月来的CMBS发行量已经基本枯竭
As 2020 marked the onset of the new crown epidemic, the office surged into large vacancies, leading to a sharp erosion of market confidence in the entity. Back to this year, office vacancies have not improved significantly. A series of negative events, such as rising interest rates and the explosion of Silicon Valley Bank, have further exacerbated market suspicion of the entity, widespread fear and the impact of economic fundamentals, and the circulation of CCBS has been largely depleted in recent months.
一种魔怔，非农数据出来之前，最多的消息和问题都是围绕着非农来讲，不知道是哪个二把刀说非农对币圈会有很大的影响，不停的煽风点火，看吧，消息面出来以后打脸了没有，大饼就涨了200点，以太波动10个点，说明了什么，说明经济走向重大的不确定性会触发市场的加速转冷，不要总是雷声大雨点小
One kind of magic, non-farm data, most of the news and the problem is that, before it comes out, it's all about non-farmers, and I don't know which two blades say that non-farmers have a big impact on the currency ring, and it's a constant fanfare. See, when the news comes out, it's 200 points, the big pies are too volatile, 10 points, what's it say, that the economy's going to be so uncertain that it triggers a rapid turn of the market, and it's not always going to rain a little bit.
为了稳定美国银行体系，美联储已经把脸皮拔干净干预措施。里士满联储主席巴尔金表示：“如果我周二早上或周三早上醒来时，认为全球系统性重要银行面临挑战，那么我显然会看到暂停加息的理由。相反，如果金融动荡已经平静下来，我会说服自己：美国银行业体系仍具有弹性，通胀仍然过高，所以为什么不继续加息呢？”看看，这就是目前的美联储
In order to stabilize the US banking system, the Fed has already taken clean-face interventions. Federal Reserve Chairman Barkin of Richmond said, “If I wake up on Tuesday morning or Wednesday morning and think that there are challenges to important global-system banks, I will obviously see reasons for suspending interest hikes. On the contrary, if the financial turmoil has calmed down, I will convince myself that the US banking system is still resilient and inflation is still too high, so why not continue to raise.” See, this is the current Fed.”
耶稣受难日加上周末，三天的时间，就是他们难得的假期，所以不会有人愿意去干预，都想在这个时候休息一下，养养神，有其实目前资本市场暴雷的时间还没过去，都想安安静静的休息几天，这几天的市场可以说会出奇的平静，咱们拭目以待
Good Friday plus weekends, three days is their rare holiday, so no one is willing to intervene, and they want to rest at this time, raise their gods, and, in fact, the time of the current crisis in the capital market is not over, they want to rest in peace for a few days.
比特币
Bitcoin.
仿佛都在等，具体在等什么也说不清楚，截止发稿前大饼日K线最高28100，最低27800，波动比昨天还小，那么今日呢？行情会不会更小，当然不排除，可以看到EMA上行扩散开始减速，整体趋势比较疲软，说明上行受阻，空头增强，MACD缩量下行加速，KDJ向下跳水，布林带收口以后K线再一次跌破了中轨27900支撑点，下方关注27100支撑，上方压力位关注28700,
What about today, as if it was waiting, and it's not clear what's going on, that the top K-line is 28100, the bottom 27,800, less volatile than yesterday, before the release? Is it even smaller? Of course, it is not possible to see that the EMA has begun to slow down, that the overall trend is weak, that the ups and ups are blocked, that the head is up, that the MACD is up, that the ups and downs are accelerating, that the KDJ is jumping down, that the K-line is down again breaking the middle 27,900 support points after the Brimbline closes, that the bottom is looking at 27,100 support, and that the top pressure is 28,700.
短线趋势四小时K线开始进入了一个下行通道，EMA也开始收口，顶部在逐步变低，目前顶部压力位降低到了28300附近，下方支撑点关注27500和27000两个位置，整体趋势波动不是很大，MACD一直开始缩量，DIF和DEA也处于一个比较平稳的趋势，KDJ出现了背离向上开口，K线受阻向下，两种思路，高位破顺势多，低位破顺势空，不再是逢高做空逢低做多的思路了，做好防范，顺势而为不要逆势抢单，行情瞬息万变，勿贪，具体操作以实时策略为主，分析主做参考,风险自担
The short-line trend of four hours has begun to enter a lower route, the EMA has begun to close, the top is gradually decreasing, the top pressure is now down to around 28,300, the support point below is concerned about 27500 and 27000 positions, the overall trend is not volatile, the MACD has been shrinking, DIF and DAA are also on a more stable trend, KDJ are moving upwards, KDJ is being blocked, Kline is falling downwards, two lines of thought, there are many highs and lows, there are no more lows and lows.
以太坊
Ether's.
截止发稿前日K线最高1880附近，最低1840附近，同样波动还没有昨日大，在缩量收口，口子越来越小，这样的情况很大的可能就是下周的单边，本周的口子还没有收缩结束，K线回调，EMA还没有结束拉伸，原本最初的地步支撑从1750一路上行到了1820，奇怪的趋势，顶部压力位向下移动，并没有太高，
As of the day before the release, near the top of the Kline at 1880, near the bottom of the 1840, the same fluctuations are not as high as yesterday, and the mouths are shrinking and the mouths are getting smaller. This is likely to be the case for next week unilaterally, the mouths of this week have not shrunk, the Kline echoes, the EMA has not ended its stretching, the original location supports the journey from 1750 to 1820, the strange trend is that the top pressure is moving downwards and not too high.
MACD顶部背离趋势持续了有一段时间，短期内难结束，KDJ向下扩散开始，布林带也脱离了上轨，下方中轨支撑关注1800，整体趋势短期内受到大环境的影响会在1850区间震荡，蓄力结束以后才会拉伸，上方压力位关注1900和1920区间
MACD top deviations have been going on for some time, with short-term difficulties ending, KDJ spreading downwards, and the Bryn belt is off-track. The lower medium-track supports attention to 1800. The overall trend will be affected by large environmental shocks in the short term between 1850 and stretching after the end of the build-up, and the pressure position above is focused on between 1900 and 1920.
四小时短线趋势横盘的更加明显一些，上方一直都受阻于1870，下方受阻1840，来回波动肯定更小，EMA开始收口，MACD缩量下行，KDJ出现背离向上形成了金叉，加上布林带收口，趋势上得出结论，短期内行情不会太大，不过提前做好防范总是不错的，思路上建议多空顺势而为，不要逆势抢单，行情瞬息万变，勿贪，具体操作以实时策略为主，分析主做参考,风险自担返回搜狐，查看更多
The four-hour short-line twilight drive is much more obvious, and the upper side has been blocked by 1870, the lower side has been blocked by 1840, the down-and-back fluctuations are certainly smaller, the EMA has started to shut down, the MACD has shrunk down, KDJ has deviated upwards into gold fork, and the boolean belt has closed, and the trend has concluded that short-term impending behavior will not be too much, but it's always good to be prepared, but it's always good to be prepared in advance, and it's always good to be prepared, thinking how easy to be, not to go backwards, not to be greedy, not to be greedy, to operate in a way that is based on a real-time strategy, to be informed by analysis, risk to itself
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