能进入币圈的朋友,首先:我们得恭喜你进入了一个财富的快车道,要知道在2017年的牛市中,有多少人仅仅用一年的时间就屌丝翻身实现了财务自由;其次,我们更得提醒你,你也进入了一个财富快速缩水的绞肉机,经历过2018年的大熊市,也知道在这个残酷的市场,很有可能会被吃的连骨头都剩不下,何况还有资金盘等各种吃人不吐骨头的各种骗局等着你!
Friends who can enter the currency circle, first of all: we would like to congratulate you on entering a wealth fast lane, knowing how many people in the cattle market in 2017 have turned their dicks in a single year, and secondly, to remind you that you have entered a fast-shrugged meat grinder, a big bear market in 2018, and know that in this cruel market, there is a real risk of being eaten and left with bones, and that there are all kinds of frauds, such as money plates, waiting for you!
鉴于此,我把这几年进入币圈后交易的经验,做了一个总结,浓缩成为十几篇文章。我将用尽可能简短的文字,来跟大家阐述交易的理念,也希望能够对所有进入币圈的朋友有所帮助!
In view of this, I have summarized the experience of trading these few years into the currency circle and have condensed it into more than a dozen articles. I will use as short a text as possible to share with you the idea of trading, and I hope that it will help all my friends who enter the currency circle.
那么,我们进入我们的第一个主题:在真正的进入币市之前,我应该做一些什么样的准备,才能让我们在币市里赚到钱呢?
So, let's get into our first theme: What kind of preparation do I have to make before we really get into the money market?
在开始这个话题之前,我想先给大家看一下天才作手利弗莫尔在《股票大作手操盘术》开篇时写的话:
Before I begin this topic, I would like to show you what the genius Livmore wrote in the opening of "Specific Handicrafts":
投机是世界上最迷人的游戏。但这不是一场面向蠢人,懒人和心智不全的人的游戏,也不适合急功近利的冒险家。它们到死都会是一贫如洗。
Speculation is the most fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for fools, lazy people, and mindless people. It is not a game for fast-won adventurers. They are poor to die.
多年以来,我每次出席晚宴独坐之时,都会有陌生人过来,一阵寒暄之后向我问询:“我如何才能在市场上赚钱呢?”在我年前的时候,我会不厌其烦的设法解释,希望能在市场上快速和容易地赚钱是不切实际的,你会碰上这样那样的麻烦;或者找个礼貌的接口,从这种困境中脱身。但在以后的几年里,我都生硬的回答:“我不知道。”
For years, when I was sitting alone at dinner, I had strangers come and ask me, after a moment of cold, "How can I make money in the market?" I didn't get tired of trying to explain earlier, hoping that it would be impractical to make money in the market quickly and easily, and that you would get into such trouble, or find a polite interface to get out of this dilemma. But in the years to come, I said, "I don't know."
遇到这样的人,你很难保持耐心。首先,这种问询对于一个对投资和投机进行了很多科学性研究的人来说算不上什么恭维。如果这个门外汉问一名律师或一名外科大夫:“我如何能在法律领域或外科手术领域赚快钱?”这才是公平的。
It's hard to be patient with someone like that. First of all, it's not a compliment to a man who does a lot of scientific research on investment and speculation. It's fair if this outsider asks a lawyer or a surgeon: "How can I make quick money in the field of law or surgery? "
但是,我确信,对一大批对股票市场投资和投机感兴趣的人来说,如果能有一本指南为他们指出正确的方向,他们是愿意通过努力工作和研究来获取合理回报的。这本书就是为他们而写的。
But I am sure that for a large group of people interested in equity market investment and speculation, if they had a guide to show them the right direction, they would be willing to work hard and research to get a reasonable return. That book was written for them.
利弗莫尔,是每一代股神都难以忽略的传奇,巴菲特,索罗斯,彼得林奇等都对其推崇备至,而我个人,对其也非常崇拜,将其视为交易道路上的精神导师。开篇的这段话,几乎都已经背过了。是的,要想在交易市场上赚到钱,尤其是在币圈的交易市场赚钱,我们必须做好以下几方面的心理准备(本人讲的仅限于心理层面,至于炒币软件交易所资讯软件之类的,大家可以自行解决):
Lifmore, a legend that every generation of gods can hardly ignore, Buffett, Soros, Petrinch and so on, and I personally, very much admire it as a spiritual mentor on the trade path. The opening phrase has almost been reversed. Yes, if we are to earn money in the trading market, especially in the currency circles, we must be psychologically prepared (I say only on the psychological level, as in the case of money-eating exchange information software and so on, you can do it yourself):
1、你要正视投机(投资)这件事情:做好交易,和做好其他的行当,并没有什么两样。都是一个职业,都是一个非常严肃的活,如果你认为只是需要一点小聪明,一点小心机,投机取巧,拼点运气,拼点小道消息就可以实现持续盈利的话,那建议还是干脆点不要进入这个市场。
1, you have to face up to speculation:
其实金融是一个非常容易给人错觉的市场,它最大的欺骗性在于:即使是一个什么都不懂的人,在这个市场里,每次交易也至少有50%的赢面。也正因为如此,在这个市场中的每一个人,即使自己什么都不懂,都往往觉得自己应该是赚钱的那一个!(我称之为:“迷之自信”)
In fact, finance is a very misleading market, and its greatest deception is that even a person who doesn't know anything has at least 50% chance of winning every transaction in this market. And that's why everyone in this market, even if they don't know anything, often feels like they're making money!
如果你不信的话,可以稍稍观察一下:在所有的行业中,都需要专业,哪怕你就是种地的农民,都需要一定的专业知识,而唯有在金融市场,是兼职人员,业余玩家最多的地方!(当然,我们也建议大家业余进入投资市场)
If you don't believe it, let's look at it a little bit: in all industries, professionals are needed, even if you're the farmer of the land, some expertise is needed, but only in the financial markets, part-timers, amateur players!
不管是全职交易,还是兼职操作,认真对待交易,是我们进入这个市场最大的前提。
Whether it is a full-time transaction or a part-time operation, taking it seriously is the biggest prerequisite for us to enter the market.
2、你必须愿意了解一些基础知识:你必须得看几本跟交易相关的书,因为书籍更加系统还,千万不要只到互联网上到处去找一些碎片化的知识来学习(虽然这也是一种学习的途径),同时,也没必要去学的太过于深入,着迷!
2. You must be willing to learn some basic knowledge: You must read a few books related to transactions, because books are more systematic and do not just go to the Internet to find fragmented knowledge to learn (although this is a way of learning) and do not have to learn too much in depth and fascination!
之所以这样讲,是因为其实炒币确实不需要懂太多,影响价格的因素太多了,我们没必要成为方方面面的专家。再说了,本来就是来炒个币理理财赚个外快的,也没必要操卖白粉的心。话说回来:其实很多所谓的大经济学家,经融学家,甚至于诺贝尔奖得主来炒股做交易,也不见得就一定能够赚钱(美国长期资本管理公司曾经有两个诺贝尔奖得主,照旧垮掉了)。
The reason for this is that there is really no need to know too much about the currency and the factors that affect prices, and we don’t have to be experts on all sides. Moreover, we don’t have to be in the business of selling white powder.
但是,懂一些基础的知识,基本的理念,来指导自己的交易,还是非常非常有必要的——如果你雨雪天路滑刹车距离会更长的话,那你就会在雨雪天气把车开慢点,刹车提前点,这当然更有利于驾驶!
But it's very necessary to learn the basics of knowledge, the basics, to guide your trade -- if you're going to be a lot longer, then you're going to slow it down in snow and snow, and you're going to brake it ahead, which is certainly better for driving!
在这里,重点跟大家推荐两本书:一本是前文提到的《股票大作手操盘术》和《股票大作手回忆录》,这两本算一本;另一本是《海龟交易法则》。这两本书是我在的案头书,已经被翻过若干次了。如果要做好交易,这两本书一定一定要看一下!这两本书中涉及的理念,基本上可以让我们应付大多数的在交易中碰上的状况了。
Here, the focus is on two books: one referred to earlier in the book "Specific Handicrafts" and "Specific Memory", both of which are counted together, and the other, "The Sea Turtle Trades Act." These books, which are my casebooks, have been rewritten several times. If we are to make a deal, they must look at the concepts involved in these two books.
我个人,在初期进入交易市场的时候,用一个月的时间一口气读完了25本书,基本上各类的交易方法全部接触了一遍,最后才定下自己的整体交易的思路的。也正是在这样的思路指导下,开发了现在的量化交易软件系统。
Personally, when I first entered the trading market, I read 25 books in a month, and basically all kinds of transactions were approached, and the idea of my whole deal was finally worked out. And it was guided by that thinking that the current system of quantitative trading software was developed.
3、参与一定实践,穿越一次牛熊:光说不练假把式,一定要先拿少量资金试试水,而且一定是真金白银的入场,模拟交易都不行,太多的人,模拟交易一操作,原来赚钱这么容易;实盘交易一上手,各种亏!
3, participating in some sort of practice, passing through a pony bear once: says it's necessary to try water with a small amount of money, and it must be the entry of real silver.
大多数的股票分析师,其实炒股都炒不好;币圈的分析师也一样,要不为啥现在这么多的公众号都已经停更了(历史反复证明:分析师基本都是扯淡的),其实很多分析师们压根自己都从不交易,还美其名曰一旦进入市场会影响心态不能可观分析之类。这个跟游泳一样,你总得先下水呛几次,才能学会游泳吧,否则你拥有的理论越多,越会成为纸上谈兵的赵括。
Most stock analysts, in fact, are not able to pay their shares; the same goes for currency analysts, if not for so many public names now (historically proven that analysts are basically bullshit), many analysts are not in the business of themselves, and if they enter the market, they are not in the mood for analysis. As in the case of swimming, you have to go down a few times before you can learn to swim, or the more you have, the more you have, the more you will become, the more you will become a parrot on paper.
但是呢,千万不要急。很多人说:第一个牛市,是用来错过的。虽然这个说法不太让人开心,但对大多数人来说就是事实!即使真的经历一次牛熊,没赚到多少钱,也无所谓。当进入市场有些年头,尽量可以穿越一次牛熊,掌握一定方法积累一定经验后,再考虑加大投入。反正币市永不关门,很多东西并不急在一时。
But don't worry. A lot of people say, "The first cow market is meant to be missed." Although it's not very pleasant, it's true for most people. It doesn't matter how much it costs to actually go through a cow bear.
4、永远要有一份稳定的场外收入。我想,在交易市场上,没有任何一个人敢建议他人直接全职入场,但是在币圈,却偏偏有那么多人,就只靠投资数字货币一项收入来维持,这不得不说有点走钢丝的味道。
在交易市场上,心态是第一要素,本来锻炼心态就特别困难,如果再全仓梭哈的话,可以想象一下要维持一份好的心态的难度。所以,无论如何,我不建议你全仓全职入场,兼职,利用业余时间炒炒币,静心的穿越一次牛熊就是了。在这样的状态下交易,我们也更能够稳得住,而结果也有很大概率远远优于你全职交易!
In the trading market, mentalities are the first element, and it would be particularly difficult to exercise, and if you did, you could imagine the difficulty of maintaining a good mindset. So, anyway, I don't recommend that you come in full-time, part-time, use your spare time to comb your coins, and go through a cow bear quietly. In such a situation, we can be more stable, and the outcome is much better than your full-time deal.
当然了,不要忘记第一条:要正视投资这件事。兼职不代表不用心!
Of course, don't forget number one: face up to the investment. Part-time work doesn't mean you don't care!
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