文章编辑时间2023.4.9凌晨0:30分,文章发布到网络有延迟,主做参考
The article was edited at 2023.4.9 a.m. at 00:30 a.m., and the article was posted to the web with a delay.
周五晚公布的非农就业人口比上月数值大幅下降,略低于预期,失业没有增加,说明美国经济还保持着一定的活力,就业市场的下降体现出经济市场的向下走势,也更多地预示着美国经济未来衰退的可能性,这两个数据看起来是有些矛盾的。但如果细致观察报告可以发现,劳工部给出的时薪是上涨的,周工作时长是下降的,说明用工的需求有所减缓,用工质量有所提升,很可能是服务业不景气所致,也就是基础的经济正在下行,提升了经济衰退的可能性。因此以美联储的角度来看,一旦未来经济开始衰退,那么停止加息概率将会大大提升,目前五月份加息 25 个基点和不加息概率为 65.5% 比 34.5%,预计数值还会随著 12 号 CPI 数据大幅变化,5 月能否停止加息也成为 4 月中旬至 5 月资本市场的关键。
The figures of the non-farm employment population announced on Friday night, which is a significant decline from the previous month’s value, is slightly lower than expected, and unemployment has not increased, indicating that the US economy is still somewhat dynamic, that the decline in the job market reflects the downward trend in the economy, and that it is more likely that there will be a future recession in the US economy, both of which are contradictory. If you look closely at the report, the Department of Labor gives a rise in hourly wages, a drop in weekly hours, a decrease in demand for workers, an improvement in the quality of the labour force, probably due to a decline in the services sector, that is, the underlying economy is going down, and an increase in the likelihood of recession.
大饼截至发稿前高点28150附近,低点27880附近。周末大饼几乎没什么波动,还是继续在28000一带反复,目前依然在28500-27500区间运行。按照当前的走势来看,周末震荡过后,下周可能会选择方向。浮竹认为,如果选择直接向上突破新高,可能对于市场并不是好事,还是要先往下骗一波再上去会更加健康。
By the current trend, after the weekend tremors, the next week may choose the direction. The idea is that it may not be good for the market if we choose to go straight up to the top, or if we have to lie down before going up to the top.
日线上看,受MA7日和10日线压制,布林带依然处于收敛口中,目前受布林上轨28700压制。从4小时图来看,布林带开始出现收口,受布林下轨27700支撑。周末一般波动不大操作上可围绕28000一带高抛低吸。日内上方关注压力28500-28800,下方关注支撑27500-27300。建议27500-27700区间轻仓多,止损放到27000下方,目标看到28000-28300。28200-28300区间轻仓空,止损放到28800上方,目标27800-27500. 一颗红心做好两手准备龚纵浩浮竹李军,浮竹提醒切记带好止损止盈。行情变化万千,具体操作以实时策略为主。
As you can see on the solar line, under the MA7 and 10 lines, the Bullin strip is still in the middle of a retreat, and is now under 28,700 on the Boolean track. From the 4-hour map, the Bullin belt starts to close and is supported by 27,700 on the Boolin track. The weekends are generally not very volatile and can be downscaled around 28,000 strips. The pressure is 28500-28800. The bottom side is concerned with 27500-27300. It is recommended that there be more than 27,500-27,700 silos below 27,000, with 28,000-28300 light silos seen. The 28200-28300 silos, with 28800-27550. One red heart is ready to prepare two hands for the mahoganies, and the magma warns that there is a significant change in the situation and that the operation is based on a real-time strategy.
以太坊截至发稿前高点1880附近,低点1854附近。昨日文中多单没给到进场点,1880空单给到进场点,获利近20个点。周五下午一直到到周六早上以太基本都在1850一带震荡,说明此位筹码较为密集,特别是周五下午多次向下插针,均未有效跌破1850一线,前面浮竹也说过短期只要不破1850,以太就能够开始展开继续上行的走势。
In the Japanese, many of them did not reach the point of entry, and 1880 were given to the point of entry, benefiting nearly 20 points. Friday afternoon, until Saturday morning, almost all of them struck the 1850s, indicating that the chips were denser, especially when needles were poured down several times on Friday afternoons, and did not actually break the 1850 line, and the first bamboo said that it was too soon to break the 1850s to start moving on.
从日线上看,目前受MA10日支撑,布林带开始朝上运行,受布林上轨1900压制。 从4小时图看,以太向上突破了小级别下行趋势,布林带处在收敛口中,受布林中轨1880压制。周末的话以太预计会在1850-1880区间震荡,操作上高抛低吸即可。关注上方压力1920-1930,下方关注支撑1830-1850。建议1840-1850区间轻仓多,止损放到1810下方,目标1870-1880。1880-1890区间轻仓空,止损放到1920上方,目标1860-1845。行情变化万千,具体操作以实时策略为主。
From the Japanese line, which is currently supported by MA10, the Bryn belt is running upwards and is under the control of Brein's track 1900. From the four-hour map, it is too up to break a low-level downward trend, and the Brenn belt is at its close and under 1880 in the middle of Brenn. By the end of the week, it is too expected that there will be a tremor between 1850 and 1880 in the area of 1850 to 1880, with operations high and low. Focusing on the pressure above 1920-1930, the lower side will focus on supporting 1830 to 1850. It is recommended that there be more light storage in 1840 to 1850 under 1810, with targets 1870 to 1880. The lightness in the area of 1880 to 1890, with cuts above 1920, targets 1860 to 1845.
声明:以上内容均为个人观点,策略仅供参考,不作为投资依据,如有跟进风险自担。返回搜狐,查看更多
Statement: The above is a personal point of view, and the strategy does not serve as a basis for investment, if there is a risk of follow-up. returned to search for more
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