据Fox Business报导,美国经济学家、HS Dent投资管理公司创办人Harry Dent曾在去年12月警告,一生一次的崩盘将至,他最新受访时未改变看法,泡沫尚未破裂,但即将迎来的可能是比2008年金融海啸更大的崩盘:“1925年至1929年间形成的是自然泡沫,背后没有任何刺激,没有人为刺激,但这次是新的情况,这种情况从未发生过。永远向经济注入额外的资金,实际上可能会长期促进整体经济。但只有当泡沫破裂时我们才会看到,再说一次,这个泡沫已持续了14年。大多数泡沫无法持续5到6年,这次被延长了,所以你必须预期会出现比2008年至09年更大的崩盘。”
Fox Business reports that, in December last year, Harry Dent, the founder of HS Dent Investment Management, warned that a lifetime crash would come, that the bubble had not broken when he was last interviewed, but that it might be larger than the 2008 financial tsunami: “ that there was a natural bubble between 1925 and 1929, without any stimulus, but that this was never new. The permanent injection of additional funds into the economy could actually contribute to the overall economy in the long run. But it was only when the bubble broke, again, that the bubble had lasted 14 years. Most bubbles could not last five to six years, and this had been extended, so you had to expect a larger collapse than from 2008 to 09.
美股将迎史诗级崩盘、辉达暴跌98%
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美股近年来不断屡创新高,那斯达克综合指数今年迄今大涨超16%、标普500指数大涨超13%、道琼工业指数则上涨3%,AI晶片巨头辉达(Nvidia)今年迄今更大涨超过152%,市值还冲破3兆美元大关。
In recent years, the United States dollar has continued to grow, with the Nasdak composite index rising by more than 16 per cent so far this year, the Pixar 500 index rising by more than 13 per cent, the Dowjong industrial index rising by 3 per cent, the AI crystal giant, Nvidia, rising by more than 152 per cent so far this year, and the market value breaking the $3 trillion mark.
但Harry Dent预测,当泡沫最终破裂时,标普500指数可能会较顶部下跌86%,那斯达克综合指数可能会较顶部下跌92%,辉达虽是英雄等级的股票、是一家伟大的公司,但辉达股价将下跌98%,一切都将结束。
But Harry Dent predicted that when the bubble eventually burst, the PHP 500 index could fall 86 per cent from the top, the Nastak composite index could fall 92 per cent from the top, and that Hinda, who was a hero and a great company, would drop 98 per cent and everything would be over.
Harry Dent唯一修改是崩盘的时间点,他指出,市场触底可能会在2025年初到年中之间的某个时间出现。
The only change to Harry Dent was the time point of the crash, noting that the market bottom might appear some time between the beginning of 2025 and mid-year.
曾建议该买比特币
suggested the purchase of bitcoin .
由于认为“所有泡沫中的泡沫”将破裂,Harry Dent曾在去年12月建议投资者将资金撤出股市,他当时还说,如果必须拥有一个新投资标的,他会选择比特币:“比特币是现阶段泡沫化最严重的领先产业…它会崩溃。比特币已经下跌了70%以上,但我们还没有经历过经济衰退,这就是其波动性。比特币跌幅最大,但如果我能在两三年后接近底部时,买一个标的,我会买比特币。”
Because “ bubbles in all foams & & rdquo; will burst, Harry Dent advised investors to withdraw their funds from the stock market last December, adding that if a new investment target had to be in place, he would choose bitcoin: “ bitcoin was the most advanced industry at the current stage of foaming … it would collapse. Bitcoin had fallen by more than 70%, but we had not experienced an economic downturn, which was its volatility. Bitcoin was the largest, but if I could buy a bid near the bottom of two or three years later, I would buy bitcoin.
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