比特币这个骗局,为什么还有那么多人信? 2021年,如果你还不知道比特币,那你就真的OUT了。自2021年初开始,比特币一路上行,接连向上突破,4月中旬最高时突...

资讯 2024-07-02 阅读:23 评论:0
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来源:雪球App,作者: 爱怼怼,(https://xueqiu.com/1777337505/181647711)

2021年,如果你还不知道比特币,那你就真的OUT了。

2021, if you don't know bitcoin, then you're really ut.

自2021年初开始,比特币一路上行,接连向上突破,4月中旬最高时突破了6万美元。神秘人中本聪2009年发明的虚拟数字货币俨然已经成了投资的香饽饽。吸引了硅谷“钢铁侠”马斯克、“牛市女皇”凯瑟琳·伍德等商界名流站台,马斯克甚至声称接受比特币用于购买特斯拉。国内东方港湾的但斌等投资专家也宣称接受比特币。

Since the beginning of 2021, Bitcoin has been on its way up, breaking 60,000 dollars in mid-April at the height of . The virtual digital currency invented in 2009 by Ben-sung of Mysteries has become an investment fragrance. It attracts Silicon Valley, Iron Man Musk, Queen Catherine Wood of the City of Bull, and even investment experts such as

一时之间,币圈一片热火烹油、鲜花着锦。

In the middle of the day, there was a hot ring of cooking oil and flowers.


不过就在比特币价格不断突破新高之后,2021年5月18日,中国互联网金融协会等三大协会发布公告指出,开展法定货币与虚拟货币兑换及虚拟货币之间的兑换业务,违反有关法律法规并涉嫌犯罪。

However, on 18 May 2021, after the price of Bitcoin was rising, three major associations, and the Chinese Internet Finance Association issued a communiqué stating that violated the relevant laws and regulations and was suspected of committing a crime by carrying out exchange operations between legal and virtual currency exchange and virtual currency exchange.

5月21日,国务院金融委重磅发声,再次阐明了金融监管部门对比特币的严监管态:“打击比特币挖矿和交易行为,坚决防范个体风险向社会领域传递”。

On 21 May, the Financial Committee of the Council of State, , again articulated the strict regulatory approach of the financial regulatory authority, Bitcoin: “Combating the mining and trading of bitcoin and firmly preventing the transfer of individual risks to the social sphere”.


比特币如此争议,到底是骗局还是数字黄金?比特币是最肮脏的货币还是未来的希望呢?

Bitcoinis socontroversial, is it a scam or a digital gold? Is Bitcoin the dirtyest currency or hope for the future?

比特币不是货币

Bitcoin is not a currency


01



 货币是人们普遍承认的一般等价物。黄金、白银作为货币是因为其本身具有价值;纸币作为货币是因为背后有各个国家的信用背书。

& nbsp; Currency is a generally recognized generic equivalent. Gold, silver, is a currency because of its own value; banknotes are a currency because of the credit endorsements of various countries behind it.


从其产生机制而言,比特币本身没有价值,同时也没有国家为其信用背书。

Bitcoin itself has no value in terms of its generation mechanism, and there is no State endorsement of its credit.

还记得世界上最贵的那两个披萨么?比特币的第一笔交易是一个小伙用1万比特币买的两个披萨,而且交易双方在这笔交易中心的严肃程度很可疑。

Remember the two most expensive pizzas in the world? Bitcoin's first deal was two pizzas bought by a small guy for 10,000 bitcoins, and the seriousness of the parties at the centre of the deal was questionable.


作为一种货币,其职能包括价值尺度、流通手段、贮藏手段、支付手段和世界货币。比特币本身价值波动性较大,无法作为价值尺度;其流通门槛较高,流通和贮藏手段存疑;目前比特币被应用最多的是它的支付手段和世界货币。不过比特币价值波动过于巨大,如果用作支付或世界性流通,难度也是不小。

As a currency, its functions include a value scale, means of circulation, means of storage, means of payment and world currency. Bitcoin itself is highly volatile and cannot be used as a value scale; its circulation threshold is high and its means of circulation and storage are questionable; currently Bitcoin is most used in its means of payment and world currency.


 


比特币没有价值

Bitcoin has no value


02



比特币本身不具备价值,而且在交易和“挖矿”过程中浪费了巨大的资源。

Bitcoin is of no value in itself and a huge waste of resources in the course of trade and “mining”.

比特币是一种数字产品,其本身不具备价值。比特币的算法是求解哈希函数,就是你给一串代码,它会生成另一串随机代码。互联网中的所有计算机都可以去寻找此代码,谁找到此代码,就会产生一个区块,随即得到一个比特币,这个过程就是人们常说的“挖矿”。

Bitcoin is a digital product that has no value in itself. Bitcoin's algorithm is to solve the Hashi function, and you give a string of codes that generate another random code. All


这种海量的计算不是无代价的。最直接的成本就是电力资源的浪费。根据剑桥大学替代金融研究中心的研究,截至 2021 年 5 月 10 日,全球比特币挖矿的年耗电量大约是 149.37 太瓦时。这一数字已经超过马来西亚、乌克兰、瑞典的耗电量,已十分接近耗电排名第 25 名的越南。

This is not a cost-free calculation. The most immediate cost is waste of electricity resources. According to the Cambridge University Center for Alternative Financial Research, up to   2021  year & nbsp; 5  month & nbsp; 10  day, the annual electricity consumption of a mine in Bitcoin worldwide is about   149.37  taw hours. This figure is already higher than the electricity consumption in Malaysia, Ukraine, Sweden, and is very close to the electricity consumption ranking & & bsp; 25& nbsp; Named Viet Nam.


每年有如此多的电力资源被浪费在了比特币挖矿和交易过程中,其造成的碳排放实际上是给社会造成了负担。这也是各国对比特币监管收紧的原因之一。

So much electricity is wasted every year in bitcoin mining and trading, and the resulting carbon emissions are actually a burden on society. This is one of the reasons why countries have tightened their regulations on bitcoin.


比特币并不是好的资产

Bitcoin is not a good asset


03



尽管比特币价格整体呈上涨趋势,但是其并不是一个好的投资产品。

目前比特币之所以能够兑换成部分国家法币甚至商品,是由于少数群体对其价值的认可。尽管投资者跑步入场,但比特币的数字钱包地址数量只有几千万,大部分人对比特币还是观望态度。

At present, Bitcoin can be converted into part of the national currency and even as a result of minority recognition of its value. Despite the presence of investors, the number of digital wallets in Bitcoin is only tens of millions, and most people are still looking at it.

尽管有少量的人在比特币交易中获利,不过不得不说的是,大部分人都是被割了韭菜。

Although a small number of people profited from the Bitcoin transaction, it had to be said that most of them had been cut.

比特币是一个控盘率极高的交易品种。虽然是去中心化的产品,但是大概2%的账户控制了95%的比特币。每一次比特币的交易都会全网广播。放在A股中,这就是一个明牌的大庄股。

Bitcoin is a highly controlled trading species. Although it is a decentralized product, about 2% of accounts control 95% of bitcoin. Every bitcoin transaction is broadcast all over the Internet.

除了高度控盘以外,比特币交易的合法性在很多国家都是灰色地带。个人公司属性的比特币交易所随时可能会跑路。那将意味着投资者的真金白银将血本无归。很多比特币的投资者都是做合约,也就是比特币的期权、期货交易,是加了杠杆的。有些无良交易所,在币价下跌的时候服务器“宕机”导致无法追加保证金,顺理成章地吞没了投资者的本金。有人开玩笑说,比特币就像是一个赌场,你拿着一百块进去,下完注以后,第一把老板说,你赢了两百块;第二把老板说你都输光了。整个过程你根本就不知道是怎么赢的,又是怎么输的。

The legitimacy of Bitcoin transactions is grey in many countries, except for high-level controls. A personal company-owned Bitcoin exchange could run at any time. That would mean that investors' real money would be lost. Many Bitcoins investors were contracted, that is, their options, futures, and leveraged.















国际犯罪组织最喜欢比特币

International criminal organizations like Bitcoin best

遗憾的是,目前没有足够多的应用场景认可比特币,就连曾经声称接受比特币支付的特斯拉也暂停了这个交易。

与主流秩序截然相反,一些见不得光的犯罪组织对比特币趋之若鹜。2017年全球大爆发的“WannaCry”病毒,勒索的支付方式就是比特币。2021年黑客组织“黑暗面”(DarkSide)对美国科洛尼尔管道运输公司(Colonial Pipeline)软件攻击,也是勒索了价值9000万美元的比特币。

In contrast to the mainstream order, some of the criminal organizations that were not allowed to do so are moving in bitcoin. In 2017, the global outbreak of the “WannaCry” virus, extortion was paid in bitcoin. In 2021, the hacker organization DarkSide attacked the US Colonial Pipeline software, which also extorted $90 million in bitcoin.


比特币的去中心化、匿名性和不可追踪成为犯罪组织的最爱。不过也有交易所为了侵吞投资者的钱,诈称遭到黑客组织袭击,丢失大量虚拟货币。无论是交易所还是黑客,都是犯罪组织,很难对其追责。 

Bitcoin’s decentralisation, anonymity, and non-traceability have become the favorites of criminal organizations. But there are also exchanges where investors’ money has been embezzled by hacking groups and large amounts of virtual money have been lost.













炒币暴富神话很少,风险很大

There are few myths about how rich they are and the risks are great.

除了中国,近期还有多国发声,拟加强对加密货币监管:

英国央行(BoE)行长贝利(Andrew Bailey)警告称,加密货币没有内在价值,人们只有在做好亏钱准备的情况下才应该购买它。 

日本央行(BOJ)行长黑田东彦(Haruhiko Kuroda)也表达了同样的担忧,他指出比特币的波动性“极高”。比特币今年迄今上涨了约30%。

韩国央行行长李柱烈说,加密货币可能会对金融稳定性产生负面影响。

美国圣路易斯联储主席布拉德警告称,投资者在投资加密货币时应保持谨慎,并直言大多数加密货币都“毫无价值”。

President Brad of the Federal Reserve of St. Louis, United States, warned that investors should be cautious when investing in encrypted currency, stating that most of the encrypted currency is “no value”.

美国财政部表示,超过1万美元的加密货币转账需要向美国国税局(IRS)报告。

目前比特币与很多国家的法币兑换已经存在障碍。除了见不得光的犯罪组织,很难有更多的应用场景。与其说它是一种可以被长期接受的资产,更像是世界无政府主义者和资本巨鳄的收购韭菜的工具。每当比特币的投资者快速增长时,都会出现一波暴涨暴跌就是明证。

Bitcoin is now an obstacle to French currency exchange in many countries. It is difficult to have more applications than to see a criminal organization out of sight. It is a long-standing asset, more like a tool for the acquisition of vegetables by the world’s anarchists and capital giants.

而且,由于区块链技术的可复制性,还有各种各样的类似产品出现:莱特币、以太币甚至狗币、shi币。这些被高度控盘的区块链数字产品更像是前些年国内流行的资金盘游戏:只要还有足够多的下线继续,游戏就不会崩盘。

And, because of the replicability of block chain technology, there are a variety of similar products: Lettco, Ether, and even dogcoin, shico. These highly controlled block chain digital products are more like the money plate games that were popular in the country in previous years: as long as there are enough downlinks to continue, the game will not collapse.

引用某币圈大佬的话就是:“傻X的共识也是共识”比特币、虚拟货币的信用基础就是共识,不管这个基础是所有人的,还是一部分人的。

To quote a big guy in a currency circle, "The consensus is also the consensus." The credit base of Bitcoin, the virtual currency, is the consensus, whether it is for everyone or for some.

比特币暴富更像个神话,就像是个输赢全看庄家心情的赌场。进去久了,总会输得一干二净。

Bitcoin's more like a myth, like a casino with a winner and a dealer's mood. It's a long way in, and it's always a clean shot.














结语

Concluding remarks

所以,基本上可以认为,炒币,无论是比特币还是其他什么币,都是一个击鼓传花的事情。没有政府会允许一个不受监管的灰色商品做大,特别是想要通过金融挑战国家权威。

如果你不想帮恐怖分子搞钱、不想增加碳排放、不想违法,那就看个乐就好了。

If you don't want money for terrorists, you don't want to increase carbon emissions, and you don't want to break the law, then enjoy it.

如果你真的有很多闲钱玩玩,很抱歉的说国内炒币已经违法了。

如果你想靠比特币致富,那就只能祝你好运了。

If you want to be rich by Bitcoin, good luck.

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