近日，美劳工统计局发布了大超预期的非农就业数据以及略超预期的失业率数据，引发市场震动。比特币（BTC）在数据发布后经历了短暂的大幅波动，随后开始下跌，现已跌回7万美元下方，接近69k美元。
In recent days, the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics has released highly over-expected data on non-farm employment and slightly over-anticipated unemployment rates, triggering market shocks. After the release of the data, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a short period of large fluctuations, and then began to decline, and has now fallen below $70,000, close to $69k.
华尔街的反应与比特币的表现
Wall Street's reaction and Bitcoin's performance
受此影响，华尔街机构纷纷调整了对降息的预期，将其推迟至今年11月。自3月以来，比特币一直在横盘整理，这种情况引发了对未来市场走势的广泛讨论。
As a result, Wall Street institutions have adjusted their expectations of interest reduction, delaying it to November. Since March, Bitcoin has been organized across the board, triggering extensive discussions about future market developments.
比特币的历史走势与当前市场的相似性
从3月份到11月份，比特币的横盘整理通道持续了8个月，这一现象让人联想到黄金ETF获批上市后的横盘期，随后黄金迎来了一波长达5年的大牛市。 From March to November, the crossing of Bitcoin continued for eight months, a phenomenon that reminded us of the five-year-long wave of bulls following the release of gold ETFs. 2024年的巨大分歧 2024 huge differences 然而，不同的分析师对比特币的未来有着截然不同的看法。Bitfinex分析师团队认为，比特币的牛市将在2024年底结束，进入熊市。而教链则认为这种观点缺乏逻辑性，并在近期的分析中对此进行了详细解剖。 However, different analysts have a very different view of the future of Bitfinex. The team of analysts think that Bitfinex’s cattle market will end by the end of 2024 and enter Bear City. 减半周期与未来的市场预期 Halve cycle and future market expectations 比特币的价格周期通常与其减半周期密切相关，每4年一次的减半事件被认为是推动价格上涨的关键因素。2024年4月，比特币将迎来新一轮的减半，这将进一步提升其“资产硬度”，使其成为地球上已知硬度最高的资产。 Bitcoin’s price cycle is often closely linked to its cycle of halving, and the halving of prices every four years is considered a key factor driving the price increase. In April 2024, Bitcoin will halve a new round, which will further raise its & ldquo; asset hardness & rdquo; and make it the most hard asset known on Earth. 历史数据显示，每次减半事件都会在大约1.5年后推动比特币价格达到峰值，随后进入一年的调整期。这种周期性的表现是否会在2024年再次应验，成为市场关注的焦点。 Historical data show that each halving event will push the price of bitcoin to peak in about 1.5 years, followed by a one-year adjustment period. Whether this cyclical performance will be repeated in 2024 and will be the focus of market attention. 美联储政策对市场的影响 美联储的政策调整对比特币市场有着重要影响。2020年底至2021年初的比特币牛市见证了空头的屡次爆仓，而2022年夏初的市场复苏也显示出比特币在应对宏观经济变化时的弹性。 The Fed’s policy adjustment of the Bitcoin market has had an important impact. By the end of 2020 to the beginning of 2021, the city of Bitcoin’s cattle witnessed repeated busts, and the early summer of 2022’s market recovery showed Bitcoin’s resilience in coping with macroeconomic changes. 2024年底的市场预测 Market forecast at the end of 2024 展望2024年底，比特币的未来充满不确定性。市场将面临美联储政策调整、减半周期的影响以及全球宏观经济环境的变化。尽管比特币在过去一直遵循4年周期的规律，但是否会在2024年继续保持这一趋势仍需时间验证。 Markets will face changes in the Fed’s policy adjustments, the impact of the halving cycle, and the global macroeconomic environment. Although Bitcoins has followed the pattern of a four-year cycle in the past, whether this trend will continue in 2024 will take time to prove. 比特币的价格走势一直受到市场供需、宏观经济政策和投资者情绪等多重因素的影响。2024年底，比特币是飞向新的高峰还是陷入熊市，将成为市场关注的焦点。无论如何，投资者应保持警惕，密切关注市场动向，做好风险管理。 Bitcoin’s price trends have been influenced by multiple factors, such as market supply and demand, macroeconomic policies, and investor sentiment. By the end of 2024, Bitcoin would be the focus of market attention, either to new peaks or to bear markets. 以上就是2024年底：比特币将迎来牛市还是熊市？的详细内容，更多关于比特币将迎来牛市还是熊市的资料请关注币圈网其它相关文章！ This is the end of 2024: is Bitcoin coming to Cow or Bear? More information on whether Bitcoin is coming to Cow or Bear.
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